圖書標籤: 思維 心理學 社會學 哲學 英文原版 Taleb 經濟學 美國
发表于2025-02-14
Antifragile pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how some things actually benefit from disorder.
In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and in Antifragile he offers a definitive solution: how to gain from disorder and chaos while being protected from fragilities and adverse events. For what Taleb calls the “antifragile” is actually beyond the robust, because it benefits from shocks, uncertainty, and stressors, just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension. The antifragile needs disorder in order to survive and flourish.
Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is immune to prediction errors. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is everything that is both modern and complicated bound to fail? The book spans innovation by trial and error, health, biology, medicine, life decisions, politics, foreign policy, urban planning, war, personal finance, and economic systems. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are heard loud and clear.
Extremely ambitious and multidisciplinary, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to behave—and thrive—in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to understand and predict. Erudite and witty, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: What is not antifragile will surely perish.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His work has been published in thirty-three languages.
非常牛逼,我預感「反脆弱」這個詞會在明年掀起新的潮流。
評分新神諭。三觀再次被刷新。
評分是我閱讀能力提高瞭?這本比FBR和黑天鵝都容易懂瞭,車軲轆反過來掉過去的說啊。太同意每句話。想來NNT的書也是我開始讀nonfiction早期的最愛瞭,沒有之一。http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/chapter4.pdf 嗯貌似沒有最初看NNT那麼驚艷瞭
評分非常牛逼,我預感「反脆弱」這個詞會在明年掀起新的潮流。
評分寫的很好,非常全麵。上升到各種哲學高度。有個小limit是:如果你一直強調的是gamma,那對應的theta也需要考慮。從長期看我們都會死。
一个玻璃杯美美地放在桌子上,当摔到地上的时候它会瞬间破碎,所以玻璃杯就是脆弱的;如果摔到地上的是一个塑料杯,它不会破碎而会在地上弹两下,所以塑料杯是强韧的;想象一下有种杯子,当摔到地下的时候,它非但没有破碎反而变成了两个杯子,这个时候它就是反脆弱的。 ...
評分文/ 《国家商业》,安然 预测工具,无法捕捉“黑天鹅” 在《黑天鹅》中,塔勒布认为,我们的世界充满最不可能发生但总是发生的事,因此我们必须学习如何由失序及混乱中获取利益,这也是他的新书主旨。 塔勒布目前任教于纽约大学理工学院(Polytechnic Ins...
評分冬吴相对论特地做了上下期的节目来推荐这本书,这就让人很好奇这本书究竟讲了什么独道的见解,很想来读一读。 书中提出了一个全新的概念------“反脆弱性”。按照我最初的理解,所谓的反脆弱性,指的就是类似与免疫系统的东西。然而实际上,作者特别指出了所谓的“反脆弱”,...
評分鸡汤与鸡精之间一定有区别,区别并不体现在作者的国籍、标题是否恶俗、词藻是否浮夸苍白,甚至内容本身是否已被用滥; 区别只体现在,宣扬某种理念的人,自己在现实生活中到底是个怎样的人:他是按照他所提倡的观念去生活的吗?他是否能在任何境遇下坚持自己的观念,并对这种行...
評分我们似乎生在一个充满动荡的世界中:大到地震海啸次贷危机,小到夫妻吵架邻里不和,生活中总是充满了意外和不安。每个个体都好似一叶扁舟——很不幸的是,你要航行在大海中,要面对的却是不知何时会袭来的滔天巨浪。 如何在这样的世界里让自己活得更好,是许多人关心的问题...
Antifragile pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2025