Roger Lowenstein (born in 1954) is an American financial journalist and writer. He graduated from Cornell University and reported for the Wall Street Journal for more than a decade, including two years writing its Heard on the Street column, 1989 to 1991. Born in 1954, he is the son of Helen and Louis Lowenstein of Larchmont, N.Y. Lowenstein is married to Judith Slovin.
He is also a director of Sequoia Fund. His father, the late Louis Lowenstein, was an attorney and Columbia University law professor who wrote books and articles critical of the American financial industry.
Roger Lowenstein's latest book, America's Bank: The Epic Struggle to Create the Federal Reserve (The Penguin Press) was released on October 20, 2015.
He has three children and lives in Westfield, New Jersey.
On September 23, 1998, the boardroom of the New York Fed was a tense place. Around the table sat the heads of every major Wall Street bank, the chairman of the New York Stock Exchange, and representatives from numerous European banks, each of whom had been summoned to discuss a highly unusual prospect: rescuing what had, until then, been the envy of them all, the extraordinarily successful bond-trading firm of Long-Term Capital Management. Roger Lowenstein's When Genius Failed is the gripping story of the Fed's unprecedented move, the incredible heights reached by LTCM, and the firm's eventual dramatic demise.
Lowenstein, a financial journalist and author of Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist, examines the personalities, academic experts, and professional relationships at LTCM and uncovers the layers of numbers behind its roller-coaster ride with the precision of a skilled surgeon. The fund's enigmatic founder, John Meriwether, spent almost 20 years at Salomon Brothers, where he formed its renowned Arbitrage Group by hiring academia's top financial economists. Though Meriwether left Salomon under a cloud of the SEC's wrath, he leapt into his next venture with ease and enticed most of his former Salomon hires--and eventually even David Mullins, the former vice chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve--to join him in starting a hedge fund that would beat all hedge funds.
LTCM began trading in 1994, after completing a road show that, despite the Ph.D.-touting partners' lack of social skills and their disdainful condescension of potential investors who couldn't rise to their intellectual level, netted a whopping $1.25 billion. The fund would seek to earn a tiny spread on thousands of trades, "as if it were vacuuming nickels that others couldn't see," in the words of one of its Nobel laureate partners, Myron Scholes. And nickels it found. In its first two years, LTCM earned $1.6 billion, profits that exceeded 40 percent even after the partners' hefty cuts. By the spring of 1996, it was holding $140 billion in assets. But the end was soon in sight, and Lowenstein's detailed account of each successively worse month of 1998, culminating in a disastrous August and the partners' subsequent panicked moves, is riveting.
The arbitrageur's world is a complicated one, and it might have served Lowenstein well to slow down and explain in greater detail the complex terms of the more exotic species of investment flora that cram the book's pages. However, much of the intrigue of the Long-Term story lies in its dizzying pace (not to mention the dizzying amounts of money won and lost in the fund's short lifespan). Lowenstein's smooth, conversational but equally urgent tone carries it along well. The book is a compelling read for those who've always wondered what lay behind the Fed's controversial involvement with the LTCM hedge-fund debacle. --S. Ketchum
如果作者的理解是正确的,那LTCM的策略很简单,两面下注,得到一个波动很小的金融产品组合,再用财务杠杆放大,从而创造出“适合自己”,也就是满足“最多能输多少钱”的预期盈利最高的产品组合。理论上说,这种方法可以精确地调节风险水平,从而能对自己“量身定做”出合适的...
評分Lowenstein是典型的journalist的写作风格,讲一个故事,每逢一个人物出现就絮絮叨叨的要把这个人物的小学经历开始说一遍。看你喜不喜欢这个风格了,不大的一件事情,可以被他写的很长,而且都是成熟性质的话。我是无爱的。LTCM这个故事其实一篇长文就可以解决的,被他搞得非常...
評分LTCM是上个世纪最后十年对冲基金的传奇,无论从规模还是知名度,都可以算是hedge fund上的王冠。其兴盛和衰败都给了后人无穷教益,之后学界也作出了不少关于Effective Market Hypothesis的诸多实证研究。 70年代这门学科刚刚兴起的时候,很朴素的认为影响市场的因素是近乎无...
評分索罗斯曾经说过,凡是人类构建的东西,都有着天然的巨大缺陷。尤其是金融市场,最易出现崩溃。这次美国次贷危机,给他的这一认识提供了最新的佐证,华尔街的最大清算银行贝尔斯登在两周内沦陷,当年每股数百美元的股价今天只能以2美元卖给了摩根,因为摩根认为他的净资产值...
評分索罗斯曾经说过,凡是人类构建的东西,都有着天然的巨大缺陷。尤其是金融市场,最易出现崩溃。这次美国次贷危机,给他的这一认识提供了最新的佐证,华尔街的最大清算银行贝尔斯登在两周内沦陷,当年每股数百美元的股价今天只能以2美元卖给了摩根,因为摩根认为他的净资产值...
他們是很聰明,但卻缺乏瞭一個常識:投資都是有風險的。他們承擔瞭太高的風險瞭。
评分作者是記者齣身,精彩的語言和敘事把這件事情寫的如同小說一般,不過技術上似乎沒有涉及太多,然後跟Michael Lewis一樣太羅嗦瞭!以及這哥們跟剋林頓和萊溫斯基有啥過節麼,拉鏈門被提到瞭3次。。
评分與08年的危機相比,LTCM的破産隻不過是金融市場上很快會被人遺忘的一個小插麯。不過Merton和Scholes的參與還是讓它有瞭獨特的諷刺意義:1997年兩人因為金融的貢獻得諾奬,1998年LTCM被bailout。
评分作者是記者齣身,精彩的語言和敘事把這件事情寫的如同小說一般,不過技術上似乎沒有涉及太多,然後跟Michael Lewis一樣太羅嗦瞭!以及這哥們跟剋林頓和萊溫斯基有啥過節麼,拉鏈門被提到瞭3次。。
评分An epic account of how the legendary LTCM, an investment Dream Team led by a hero of the Liar's Poker, quickly rose to stardom with its computerised and mathematics-based investment models, only to find itself lose it all in five weeks amid irrational market conditions, due to lax governance, excessive leverage and inherent flaws of the models.
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