Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent 21 years as a risk taker (quantitative trader) before becoming a flaneur and researcher in philosophical, mathematical and (mostly) practical problems with probability.
Taleb is the author of a multivolume essay, the Incerto (The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and Skin in the Game) an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making when we don’t understand the world, expressed in the form of a personal essay with autobiographical sections, stories, parables, and philosophical, historical, and scientic discussions in nonover lapping volumes that can be accessed in any order.
In addition to his trader life, Taleb has also written, as a backup of the Incerto, more than 50 scholarly papers in statistical physics, statistics, philosophy, ethics, economics, international affairs, and quantitative finance, all around the notion of risk and probability.
Taleb is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at NYU's Tandon School of Engineering (only a quarter time position). His current focus is on the properties of systems that can handle disorder ("antifragile").
Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.
From the New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan, a bold new work that challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward, politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility
In his most provocative and practical book yet, one of the foremost thinkers of our time redefines what it means to understand the world, succeed in a profession, contribute to a fair and just society, detect nonsense, and influence others. Citing examples ranging from Hammurabi to Seneca, Antaeus the Giant to Donald Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb shows how the willingness to accept one’s own risks is an essential attribute of heroes, saints, and flourishing people in all walks of life.
As always both accessible and iconoclastic, Taleb challenges long-held beliefs about the values of those who spearhead military interventions, make financial investments, and propagate religious faiths. Among his insights:
• For social justice, focus on symmetry and risk sharing. You cannot make profits and transfer the risks to others, as bankers and large corporations do. You cannot get rich without owning your own risk and paying for your own losses. Forcing skin in the game corrects this asymmetry better than thousands of laws and regulations.
• Ethical rules aren’t universal. You’re part of a group larger than you, but it’s still smaller than humanity in general.
• Minorities, not majorities, run the world. The world is not run by consensus but by stubborn minorities imposing their tastes and ethics on others.
• You can be an intellectual yet still be an idiot. “Educated philistines” have been wrong on everything from Stalinism to Iraq to low-carb diets.
• Beware of complicated solutions (that someone was paid to find). A simple barbell can build muscle better than expensive new machines.
• True religion is commitment, not just faith. How much you believe in something is manifested only by what you’re willing to risk for it.
The phrase “skin in the game” is one we have often heard but rarely stopped to truly dissect. It is the backbone of risk management, but it’s also an astonishingly complex worldview that, as Taleb shows in this book, applies to all aspects of our lives.
1. 什么是Skin in the game? 这本书的副标题可以说是非常具有误导性了,并不是常规意义上的asymmetry 简单来说,Skin in the game指的是对所参与的事要有“代价”—— 提出一个方案,成功要有相应的奖励,失败要有相应的损失。否则 - 可能提出不切实际、有损利益的方案,即经典...
評分 評分第三卷 狗群中的狼。 如何合法控制他人 1.如何把人组织起来?(1)培训的名字心里操控(2)把他们拧在一起,某种程度上参与风险共担,与公司共担风险. 2.一种期奇效的奴隶制:支付超额工资,让他意识自己不值这个钱,同时害怕自己失去这一切。例如,外派人员大多数服从命令。 3...
知識分子罵人果然很有姿勢水平。不要看紐約客;不要隨便相信知識分子(點名斯蒂芬平剋、皮凱蒂和理查德泰勒)和行為經濟學,他們都是IYI;being alive means taking certain risks ;如何解決道德難題?要麼獨善其身,要麼財務自由 。
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评分除瞭傲慢和惡意外依然好
评分除瞭傲慢和惡意外依然好
评分作為nassim的腦殘粉 連夜翻完瞭他的最新作。書裏沒有脫離他的關於黑天鵝 不對稱風險的基本思想 風險承擔和利益迴報要在一個個體 不然它必然是在screw others 書裏還指名道姓的懟瞭n個諾奬得主 也算作者言行閤一的skin in the game瞭
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