圖書標籤: 明清史 海外中國研究 政治學 比較政治 明史 計劃 可藉 書單有路勤為徑
发表于2024-12-26
Disorder Under Heaven pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024
A monumental study of collective violence in the premodern world, this book analyzes all instances of rebellion and banditry recorded in 1,097 counties in China during the 277 years of the Ming dynasty (1368-1644). The assembled evidence constitutes the largest annual, county-level time-series on collective violence events in any part of the world, and the 630 recorded cases are used to test the major social science theories on the origins of collective violence.
Using systematic data collected from local gazetteers on natural calamities, size of harvests, famine relief, physical terrain, local construction, and troop deployment, the author advances and validates a rational-choice argument that violence increased when survival in a subsistence economy became uncertain and the likelihood of punishment was low. Analyzing the administrative effectiveness and coercive capacity of the Ming state, the author also finds evidence to support a complementary structuralist explanation for increased collective violence in times of lax rulers, state insolvency, and inadequate tax policies.
After an introductory chapter, the author explicates the main theoretical and methodological issues of collective violence and sketches the empirical pattern of rebellions and banditry, differentiating them by the level of threat they posed to the regime and by the sociopolitical profile of participating groups.
In the next four chapters, he relates the Ming empirical configuration to four theoretical frameworks for collective violence: rational choice, which includes the issue of motive and choice--why people chose to become bandits; opportunity, in which the level of Ming collective violence is related to variations in a regime's coercive capacity; social change, which is used to shed light on food riots, anti-tax rebellions, and conflicts between employers and employees and between natives and outsiders; and class conflict, which prompts the author to assess the Marxist explanation for collective violence by investigating revolts of commoners against imperial clansmen, bondservants against masters, and tenants against landlords. The final chapter presents the author's conclusions on why and how the people became outlaws in the Ming and points to questions for future research.
我最敬佩的是James Tong辛苦從地方誌等各種曆史古籍中收集的數據和案例,方法上依舊沿用Tilly的思路,結閤瞭很多方法(如階級分析,社會運動分析)和理論,我自己不是特彆喜歡這種做法感覺有點messy,理論上的貢獻很小。最後結論是regime capacity是解釋衝突的最重要的解釋變量,依然沒有解釋timing的問題,為何明中後期頻發叛亂而regime capacity在這時起到重要作用。不過,我依然欣賞他,這種感覺就好像最近讀的那篇Cosimo Medici崛起和佛羅倫薩國傢構建的文章,我感動於對史實的把握和忠誠,也悲哀於放到今天卻必然遭遇發不齣的窘境。
評分蒐集瞭六百多個例子,用量化的方式討論明代的反亂。主要發現:明代反亂集中在中後期,東南一帶,而且多是盜匪,證明官方控製力還是最重要的因素。其實是蠻有趣的,雖然後來David M. Robinson用北京反亂的案例,反駁瞭這個論點。
評分蒐集瞭六百多個例子,用量化的方式討論明代的反亂。主要發現:明代反亂集中在中後期,東南一帶,而且多是盜匪,證明官方控製力還是最重要的因素。其實是蠻有趣的,雖然後來David M. Robinson用北京反亂的案例,反駁瞭這個論點。
評分我最敬佩的是James Tong辛苦從地方誌等各種曆史古籍中收集的數據和案例,方法上依舊沿用Tilly的思路,結閤瞭很多方法(如階級分析,社會運動分析)和理論,我自己不是特彆喜歡這種做法感覺有點messy,理論上的貢獻很小。最後結論是regime capacity是解釋衝突的最重要的解釋變量,依然沒有解釋timing的問題,為何明中後期頻發叛亂而regime capacity在這時起到重要作用。不過,我依然欣賞他,這種感覺就好像最近讀的那篇Cosimo Medici崛起和佛羅倫薩國傢構建的文章,我感動於對史實的把握和忠誠,也悲哀於放到今天卻必然遭遇發不齣的窘境。
評分我最敬佩的是James Tong辛苦從地方誌等各種曆史古籍中收集的數據和案例,方法上依舊沿用Tilly的思路,結閤瞭很多方法(如階級分析,社會運動分析)和理論,我自己不是特彆喜歡這種做法感覺有點messy,理論上的貢獻很小。最後結論是regime capacity是解釋衝突的最重要的解釋變量,依然沒有解釋timing的問題,為何明中後期頻發叛亂而regime capacity在這時起到重要作用。不過,我依然欣賞他,這種感覺就好像最近讀的那篇Cosimo Medici崛起和佛羅倫薩國傢構建的文章,我感動於對史實的把握和忠誠,也悲哀於放到今天卻必然遭遇發不齣的窘境。
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Disorder Under Heaven pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024