圖書標籤: 統計 邏輯 方法論 計算機 因果 哲學 科普 AI
发表于2024-09-27
The Book of Why pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024
A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence
“Correlation is not causation.” This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality–the study of cause and effect–on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl’s work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.
Judea Pearl is a professor of computer science at UCLA and winner of the 2011 Turing Award and the author of three classic technical books on causality. He lives in Los Angeles, California.
Dana Mackenzie is an award-winning science writer and the author of The Big Splat, or How Our Moon Came to Be. He lives in Santa Cruz, California.
很不錯,很受啓發。其實語言限製思維這個簡單的事情也很有意思。說個身邊的例子,很多人說深圳要取代香港,卻不知道深圳何以成為深圳。當年鄧公畫瞭五個特區,隻有一個成功瞭。稍微動腦子問一下why就知道深圳成功的唯一原因就是香港。去年香港打瞭個噴嚏,深圳就半癱瘓瞭。這兩個不可分割的玩意,竟然有一方把另一方當作對手。。。
評分很不錯,很受啓發。其實語言限製思維這個簡單的事情也很有意思。說個身邊的例子,很多人說深圳要取代香港,卻不知道深圳何以成為深圳。當年鄧公畫瞭五個特區,隻有一個成功瞭。稍微動腦子問一下why就知道深圳成功的唯一原因就是香港。去年香港打瞭個噴嚏,深圳就半癱瘓瞭。這兩個不可分割的玩意,竟然有一方把另一方當作對手。。。
評分學統計教統計十幾年,好多核心的概念第一次看人講得這麼清楚,豁然開朗豁然開朗!
評分從公司圖書館藉得此書,翻瞭前兩章,結閤得到上萬維鋼的講解,大緻瞭解瞭因果關係的重要性和對下一步強AI的啓發,為什麼要超越相關性去探求因果性。如作者在前言末尾講到的:“Data do not understand cause and effects; human do. I hope that the new science of casual inference will enable us to better understand how we do it, because there is no better way to understand ourselves than by emulating ourselves. ”
評分知其所以然。
一 五月,腾讯稳坐公司新闻头条,与今日头条互诉,腾讯视频打造的女团选拔节目《创造101》中的选手王菊逆袭翻盘,现象级的王菊效应在网上发酵。在五月,让我最感兴趣的一条公司新闻也与腾讯有关。5月30日,腾讯官方公众号发布了一篇文章,标题是《她叫Siren,不是人,也可以是...
評分 評分 評分拿到书之后读了两遍,第一遍是以欣赏和学习的态度,第二遍是以欣赏和怀疑的态度。学习和怀疑之后,谈谈读后感。 这本书的副标题是《关于因果关系的新科学》,显然,这本书是从科学角度论述因果关系的。这可能让大众诧异,为什么显而易见的因果关系,从科学角度却难以建立。甚至...
評分这本书说的是人类思维中最重要的逻辑关系——因果关系。 人类的大脑中有强烈的因果直觉,这种直觉在正向判断中非常高效。当看到一件事情时,我们能够很有把握地判断出它可能导致的结果。但是反过来,我们的直觉往往不够有效。也就是说,当看到结果时,我们常常无法快速准确地推...
The Book of Why pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024