图书标签: 金融 经济 英文原版 投资 行为经济学 Shiller Economics 次贷危机
发表于2024-12-27
Irrational Exuberance pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024
In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times bestseller, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, now cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008-9 financial crisis. With high stock and bond prices in the United States, and rising housing prices in many countries, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever.
But Irrational Exuberance is about something far more important than the current situation in any given market because the book explains the forces that move all markets up and down. It shows how investor euphoria can drive asset prices up to dizzying and unsustainable heights, and how, at other times, investor discouragement can push prices down to very low levels.
Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets--and famously predicted their crashes. This new edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. This edition also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which puts the book in broader context.
In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity--and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to read it.
For more information, including new developments and regular data updates, please go to www.irrationalexuberance.com
Robert James "Bob" Shiller (born Detroit, Michigan,March 29, 1946) is an American economist, academic, and best-selling author. He currently serves as the Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics at Yale University and is a Fellow at the Yale International Center for Finance, Yale School of Management. Shiller has been a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) since 1980, was Vice President of the American Economic Association in 2005, and President of the Eastern Economic Association for 2006-2007. He is also the co-founder and chief economist of the investment management firm MacroMarkets LLC.
New Edition
评分中心思想都在标题里了(作为一个金融专业出身的人居然读到一半读不下去了是不是不太合格……果然还是转行算了吧)
评分New Edition
评分Shiller拿了诺奖才读似乎有点迟钝。很多自说自话,很多不太严谨。但是New Era Story-> rational feedback loop -> herd behavior的泡沫逻辑还是挺有趣的。
评分陆陆续续拖了快一年才读完。还差Nobel Prize课程的Appendix. 全书干货有些,但是需要提炼。有趣的点可能在一些心理学的研究结论上面。从投资角度来说,对价值投资和有效市场理论都点到为止了一下,虽然提出了各自的不足,但是没有给出基于行为经济学的矫正意见——毕竟是大众科普读物吧。研究Irrational Exuberance可能做为对于政府经济行为的指导意见强于对投资的意见,毕竟如果单纯靠群体性的投资行为的话,为何不去做Momentum Investing呢?这本书的价值可能在于当市场过分Fear或者Greed以至于个人受到社会压力的影响太强从而可能做出糟糕的投资决定的时候,读一下这本书做为一个self reflection,一个熔断机制,可能会做出更理智的投资决定。
读到庞氏骗局深有体会,自己又半山腰上买入,所有的理论工具都会,所有的知识都知道,却非理性的买入了了,在3200点,就是因为我去了趟证券公司开了创业板,体会到了人家都挣了两倍,然后还是两千万,太刺激了我,所以我忍了半天又进去了,自己这么样就动摇了,所以庞氏骗局太...
评分我2006年看的, 越看胆子越大, 68追的600150, 190出的. 不过要是没看过, 我不会在过去2年坚决不买房,不贷款, 不会那么坚决的在2008年初把70%的仓位买了2年国债,
评分 评分在巴菲特都极为推崇的投资书籍《投资最重要的事》中谈及投资的钟摆理论,即市场一定是不断在牛熊之间转换,市场波动循环往复、永不停止。这就为在熊市买入,牛市卖出股票获利提供可能,因此投资不仅要参与填坑的阶段,价值投资倡导熊市中我们用废铁价买黄金以及通过基本面“捡...
评分本学期我选修了这门课,会随着课程而更新课堂笔记:[1-7课],[8-14课],[15-23课(完)] 这是入门级的概论课。如果你有一点金融基础,就不必看了。 自己收集的书目:[金融通识 Finance for Liberal Arts] Course Description: Financial institutions are a pillar of civilize...
Irrational Exuberance pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024