图书标签: 金融 经济 英文原版 投资 行为经济学 Shiller Economics 次贷危机
发表于2025-01-28
Irrational Exuberance pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025
In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times bestseller, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, now cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008-9 financial crisis. With high stock and bond prices in the United States, and rising housing prices in many countries, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever.
But Irrational Exuberance is about something far more important than the current situation in any given market because the book explains the forces that move all markets up and down. It shows how investor euphoria can drive asset prices up to dizzying and unsustainable heights, and how, at other times, investor discouragement can push prices down to very low levels.
Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets--and famously predicted their crashes. This new edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. This edition also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which puts the book in broader context.
In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity--and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to read it.
For more information, including new developments and regular data updates, please go to www.irrationalexuberance.com
Robert James "Bob" Shiller (born Detroit, Michigan,March 29, 1946) is an American economist, academic, and best-selling author. He currently serves as the Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics at Yale University and is a Fellow at the Yale International Center for Finance, Yale School of Management. Shiller has been a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) since 1980, was Vice President of the American Economic Association in 2005, and President of the Eastern Economic Association for 2006-2007. He is also the co-founder and chief economist of the investment management firm MacroMarkets LLC.
中心思想都在标题里了(作为一个金融专业出身的人居然读到一半读不下去了是不是不太合格……果然还是转行算了吧)
评分中心思想都在标题里了(作为一个金融专业出身的人居然读到一半读不下去了是不是不太合格……果然还是转行算了吧)
评分席勒教授在2014年第三版中提出了”新时代繁荣”,是继2001年千禧繁荣,2007年次贷繁荣后,由全球主要央行共同参与并推动的一次全球性资产泡沫,席勒教授对此次非理性繁荣提出了警告。然而,这一次并没有像之前版本发布后就出现崩盘,自2014年以后资产价格继续攀升,至今2019年并没有出现崩盘迹象。
评分席勒教授在2014年第三版中提出了”新时代繁荣”,是继2001年千禧繁荣,2007年次贷繁荣后,由全球主要央行共同参与并推动的一次全球性资产泡沫,席勒教授对此次非理性繁荣提出了警告。然而,这一次并没有像之前版本发布后就出现崩盘,自2014年以后资产价格继续攀升,至今2019年并没有出现崩盘迹象。
评分席勒教授在2014年第三版中提出了”新时代繁荣”,是继2001年千禧繁荣,2007年次贷繁荣后,由全球主要央行共同参与并推动的一次全球性资产泡沫,席勒教授对此次非理性繁荣提出了警告。然而,这一次并没有像之前版本发布后就出现崩盘,自2014年以后资产价格继续攀升,至今2019年并没有出现崩盘迹象。
席勒(Robert J.Shiller)教授在其在本人授课的耶鲁公开课《经济市场》上推荐的辅助教材之一。这本书因其“成功的预测了2000年和2007年两次金融及房产市场泡沫崩溃“而出名,当然事实上这本书只是幸运的在2000年金融泡沫破灭前刚好发表,显然整个经济泡沫涌起的90年代不断会有...
评分p24 对于房地产泡沫的分析比较全面。 p46 对于46岁年龄组的滑坡造成的2009年股市下降有点意思。不过新经济崛起的也很快。 p78 研究反馈和负反馈循环的混沌理论,可以解决股市泡沫的一些问题。 p178 流行病模型的重要性 还真是认真讨论了一下《股票长期趋势》一书。 (其实如果...
评分用了很多文献和统计讲了一些故事,一些让人推翻现有理念的故事。是可以把人们的思维空间扩展的书。书中的内容一言难尽。 有一个统计很有意思。在全球一年内跌幅最大的前十名股票中(58.4%--74.9%),其后一年内的价格变化有七次都是大涨,仅有两次下跌,大的跌幅仅为18% 。
评分其实这本书写的非常生动形象,我就不明白为什么有人认为枯燥,如果连这个都算枯燥,那您别看财经类的著作了,真的。 席勒主要回顾了全球过去的股票市场和房地产市场,并非常认真的对一些在美国人心里已经根深蒂固的观念进行辟谣: 谣言一:股票市场只需要长期持有,因为长期来...
评分我2006年看的, 越看胆子越大, 68追的600150, 190出的. 不过要是没看过, 我不会在过去2年坚决不买房,不贷款, 不会那么坚决的在2008年初把70%的仓位买了2年国债,
Irrational Exuberance pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025