Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024


Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition)

简体网页||繁体网页
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Texere
2004-03-12
0
USD 20.95
Paperback
9781587991844

图书标签: 概率  经济投资  方法论  randomness  经济  Finance  investment/finance  fooled   


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发表于2024-11-04

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 电子书 下载 2024

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 电子书 下载 2024

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024



图书描述

Selected by Amazon.com and The Financial Times as one of the best business books of the year, Fooled by Randomness is an instant classic. Already published in 14 languages, the book?s title has entered our vocabulary. After reading the excitement expressed below for Fooled by Randomness one realizes that its world-wide bestseller status is no random event. This book is about luck ? or more precisely how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill ? the world of trading ? Fooled by Randomness is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. Writting in an entertaining and narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. In this second edition, Taleb manages to use stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书

著者简介

戴纳西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布,绝大多数时候都是一名漫游者,在地球各个角落的咖啡厅里冥想。他早年曾经从商,目前是纽约大学特聘教授。曾在纽约和伦敦交易多种衍生性金融商品,也曾在芝加哥当过营业厅的独立交易员。2001年2月正式成为衍生性金融商品交易战略名人堂的一员。他的作品包括《随机致富的傻瓜》和《黑天鹅》,后者曾连续一年多列位《纽约时报》畅销书榜,以31种语言出版,是一本知识、社会和文化方面的经典著作。


图书目录


Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载
想要找书就要到 小哈图书下载中心
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本页
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用户评价

评分

读下来让人难过,人类是追求确定性的生物,但是世界却充满了随机性。作者也没有,实际上可能没人能有什么可行的解决办法。不过现实既然如此,就应该坦然接受。本书值得再读,用以提醒自己。中文版翻译的是英文第一版,英文版已有第二版。

评分

读下来让人难过,人类是追求确定性的生物,但是世界却充满了随机性。作者也没有,实际上可能没人能有什么可行的解决办法。不过现实既然如此,就应该坦然接受。本书值得再读,用以提醒自己。中文版翻译的是英文第一版,英文版已有第二版。

评分

读下来让人难过,人类是追求确定性的生物,但是世界却充满了随机性。作者也没有,实际上可能没人能有什么可行的解决办法。不过现实既然如此,就应该坦然接受。本书值得再读,用以提醒自己。中文版翻译的是英文第一版,英文版已有第二版。

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Bad Writer....

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Bad Writer....

读后感

评分

这本书可以带来清醒。 纵观全书,我觉得主要讲的就是人往往被随机性所愚弄,根据以往或现在发生的事实归纳推断出结论,并以为这是很正确的,其实却忽略了那概率中未发生的事实,而随着时间的推移,那些事实很可能就发生了。对于交易员来说,就是相信自己归纳总结出来的方法已经...  

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Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024


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