The Black Swan pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载 2025

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Random House Trade Paperbacks

2010-5-11

480

USD 17.00

Paperback

9780812973815

图书标签: 社会学金融思维哲学 Finance 风险管理英文原版经济

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发表于2025-02-09

The Black Swan epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 电子书下载 2025

The Black Swan pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载 2025

图书描述

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

*2nd Edition, With a new essay: "On Robustness and Fragility"

The Black Swan 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书

著者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He managed to transform his interests into three successful careers, as a man of letters, businessman-trader-risk manager, and university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa. His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages. He is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

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The Black Swan pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载

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用户评价

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認同的觀點包括經濟學過度依賴數學模型忽略現實中複雜的因素而被NNT稱爲僞科學；Gaussian bell curve is intellectual fraud；那些所謂的expert往往穿西裝打領帶，但聼不聼他們的意見其實根本不重要（比如wall street analyst對於股票走勢的分析和預測）。總之對主流大學教授的經濟、金融、統計學一一炮轟，並結合了作者自己哲學的見地。

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Thought-provoking indeed.

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帮助你重新思考的一本

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washington university现任校长曾经推荐的。对probability的新的解读，用语生动。

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