Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond

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出版者:Stanford University Press
作者:Scott Kastner
出品人:
頁數:256
译者:
出版時間:2009-04-14
價格:USD 24.95
裝幀:Paperback
isbn號碼:9780804762045
叢書系列:Studies in Asian Security
圖書標籤:
  • 颱灣
  • 安全研究
  • 兩岸
  • 東亞安全
  • 東亞
  • politics
  • International-Relations
  • IR
  • 颱灣海峽
  • 政治衝突
  • 經濟依存
  • 國際關係
  • 中國大陸
  • 颱灣
  • 地緣政治
  • 貿易
  • 安全研究
  • 區域研究
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具體描述

Why is it that political conflict between countries sometimes undermines commerce between those states, and yet at other times it seems to have little or no effect on cross-border economic flows? The question is an important one, yet, while numerous studies have considered how and to what extent international political conflict affects trade, few consider how and when economic linkages can develop despite hostile political relations. This book addresses that gap, and demonstrates that the impact of international political conflict on commerce will be muted when national leaders are accountable to internationalist economic interests—because such leaders will try to prevent political disputes with other countries from spilling over into economic arenas. The author develops this argument primarily through a detailed case study of a critically important contemporary case: the relationship between Mainland China and Taiwan. He then tests it via two shorter case studies.

區域衝突與全球治理:跨越地緣政治的邊界 第一部分:衝突的根源與演變 本書深入剖析瞭當代國際關係中最為復雜和引人注目的地緣政治熱點區域——亞太地區。我們聚焦於一係列相互交織的衝突驅動因素,這些因素不僅塑造瞭該地區的權力結構,也深刻影響著全球的政治經濟格局。 一、曆史遺留問題與民族主義的再興起 衝突的起點往往深植於曆史的斷層之中。本書首先對二戰後東亞秩序的建立及其內在的矛盾進行瞭詳盡的梳理。我們審視瞭冷戰思維如何在地緣政治的棋盤上留下瞭難以磨滅的印記,以及隨後的去殖民化進程中未能完全解決的領土爭端。 特彆關注的議題包括: 曆史敘事的分歧與重塑: 分析不同國傢如何利用曆史記憶來構建國傢認同和正當性,以及這種敘事如何在現代媒體環境下被放大,成為外交摩擦的導火索。 民族主義的內化與外顯: 探討在全球化背景下,民族主義情緒如何從精英階層嚮下滲透到社會大眾,成為影響政策製定的強大力量。我們區分瞭建設性的民族主義(如對國傢利益的維護)和破壞性的民族主義(如排他性和擴張性傾嚮),並考察瞭後者在特定國傢決策周期中的作用。 二、權力轉移與戰略競爭 亞太地區正經曆自冷戰結束以來最顯著的權力結構重組。本書將權力轉移理論置於分析框架的核心,探討新興大國挑戰現有霸權所帶來的係統性不穩定性。 均勢的動態失衡: 研究瞭新興經濟體在軍事、技術和經濟影響力方麵的快速增長,如何直接挑戰既有的安全框架和規範。我們運用量化指標來評估軍事現代化的速度及其對區域安全態勢的影響,尤其關注海軍力量的部署和“反介入/區域拒止”(A2/AD)能力的擴散。 製度性競爭與規範的衝突: 權力轉移不僅僅是軍事力量的對比,更是關於“誰來製定規則”的競爭。本書對比瞭以既有國際組織為代錶的自由國際秩序倡導者與尋求構建替代性治理模式的勢力之間的結構性衝突。這種衝突體現在對國際法、人權標準以及經濟閤作機製的不同解讀上。 三、非傳統安全威脅的復雜化 當代衝突的形態已遠超傳統的軍事對峙。本書詳細分析瞭新興非傳統安全威脅如何被地緣政治競爭所利用和放大,形成多維度的安全睏境。 信息戰與認知領域衝突: 深度探討瞭虛假信息、認知滲透和網絡攻擊在現代衝突中所扮演的角色。我們分析瞭國傢行為體如何通過操縱信息環境來削弱對手的社會凝聚力和決策能力,這構成瞭“灰色地帶”衝突的重要組成部分。 關鍵資源的安全化: 隨著對半導體、稀土以及清潔能源技術的需求激增,這些經濟要素日益被納入國傢安全範疇。本書考察瞭供應鏈的政治風險,以及各國為確保關鍵技術和資源供應而采取的“去風險化”或“友岸外包”戰略如何加劇瞭經濟領域的競爭。 --- 第二部分:全球治理的挑戰與區域化應對 麵對日益緊張的局勢,國際社會在維護全球公共産品和區域穩定方麵麵臨嚴峻挑戰。本部分著重探討瞭現有治理機製的局限性以及區域行為體如何尋求新的閤作與製衡路徑。 一、多邊主義的碎片化與功能失調 全球治理體係的有效性正遭受前所未有的質疑。 聯閤國體係的效能瓶頸: 分析瞭安理會在處理重大地緣政治危機時的僵局,以及大國競爭如何阻礙瞭全球氣候變化、流行病控製等跨國議題的有效協調。 區域經濟一體化的復雜性: 考察瞭大型區域貿易協定(如RCEP、CPTPP)在推行過程中遇到的政治阻力。貿易自由化不再是純粹的經濟目標,而是成為地緣政治工具,導緻一體化進程常常因安全顧慮而被擱置或扭麯。 二、區域性安全架構的再構建 麵對大國競爭帶來的不確定性,區域國傢正在積極探索適應性更強的安全閤作模式。 聯盟體係的調整與“多軌外交”: 觀察傳統軍事同盟(如美日安保條約)的深化與適應,同時也關注區域內非正式的安全對話機製和“多軌外交”的興起。許多國傢試圖在不選邊站隊的前提下,通過雙邊和多邊接觸來對衝風險。 危機管控機製的構建需求: 強調瞭建立有效、透明的軍事和外交危機熱綫與溝通機製的迫切性,以避免誤判導緻的意外升級。本書評估瞭現有防止衝突升級的準則在當前高度敏感環境下的適用性與不足。 三、技術主權與數字鴻溝 技術競爭已成為地緣政治競爭的新疆域,它深刻影響著國傢間的信任和閤作基礎。 標準製定權之爭: 分析瞭新興技術(如5G/6G、人工智能)的全球標準製定權之爭,這實質上是未來經濟和安全霸權的預演。各國在推動本國技術方案的同時,也加劇瞭全球技術生態的割裂風險。 數據流動與隱私保護的矛盾: 探討瞭國傢安全與個人數據主權之間的張力,以及在信息流動日益受限的背景下,如何維持必要的全球科研和商業閤作。 --- 第三部分:穩定邊界的維護與未來展望 本書的最後部分轉嚮對未來情景的審視,並探討瞭在持續的競爭環境下,如何尋求“可控的穩定”。 一、建立最小限度的互信基礎 盡管全麵閤作遙不可及,但維持衝突的“護欄”至關重要。 透明度與可預測性: 主張在軍事演習、戰略意圖和技術發展方麵,增強信息披露的透明度,以減少戰略誤判的風險。 共同應對全球性挑戰的切入點: 識彆在氣候變化適應、跨國犯罪打擊和公共衛生等領域,雙方仍可能找到有限的閤作空間,即使是在政治關係緊張時期,這些領域的閤作也能起到穩定器皿的作用。 二、韌性與適應性:國傢的內部建設 麵對外部環境的波動,一個國傢的內部韌性成為抵禦衝擊的關鍵。 經濟韌性的構建: 分析瞭如何通過多元化貿易夥伴、關鍵産業的本土化布局,以及建立戰略儲備,來增強經濟免受外部地緣政治壓力影響的能力。 社會共識的維護: 強調瞭在信息戰和內部極化風險加劇的背景下,維護社會凝聚力和對理性政策討論的承諾,是國傢安全的重要組成部分。 本書總結認為,亞太地區的未來不會是簡單的“新冷戰”重演,而是一個更加多極化、多維度競爭共存的復雜局麵。成功的區域治理將不再依賴於單一的權力平衡,而是取決於所有行為體在維護關鍵穩定機製和識彆共同威脅方麵的務實努力。區域的穩定,需要付齣持續的、精細的外交和戰略耐心。

作者簡介

Scott L. Kastner is Associate Professor in the Department of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland, College Park.

目錄資訊

讀後感

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用戶評價

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The title,《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, immediately conjures images of a deeply complex and fascinating subject. My initial reaction is one of intrigue at the inherent paradox it presents: how can a region be simultaneously defined by political conflict and profound economic interdependence? I expect the book to meticulously unravel the historical roots of the political conflict, delving into the divergent political systems, nationalistic aspirations, and historical grievances that have shaped the cross-strait relationship. This would likely involve a nuanced examination of the varying perspectives and ideologies at play, offering a balanced understanding of the underlying tensions. Concurrently, I anticipate a thorough exploration of the economic ties that bind mainland China and Taiwan. This might encompass an in-depth analysis of trade patterns, investment flows, technological collaboration, and the intricate supply chains that have developed, highlighting how these economic linkages have evolved despite the political friction. The "and Beyond" portion of the title is particularly compelling, suggesting that the book will not be confined to a bilateral analysis. I look forward to seeing how the author integrates broader regional and global dynamics into the discussion, perhaps examining the roles of major powers like the United States, the influence of international organizations, and the implications for global economic stability and security. My hope is for a work that offers a comprehensive, well-researched, and insightful examination of this critical geopolitical and economic nexus, providing a fresh perspective and contributing to a deeper understanding of the complex interplay between conflict and cooperation in the contemporary world order.

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The title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》immediately signals a sophisticated and nuanced approach to a highly charged subject. The pairing of "political conflict" with "economic interdependence" suggests an understanding that these two forces are not mutually exclusive but rather deeply intertwined and mutually influential. I anticipate the book will meticulously dissect the historical roots and contemporary manifestations of the political conflict, exploring the diverse perspectives, nationalistic sentiments, and strategic calculations that contribute to the ongoing tensions. This would likely involve a thorough analysis of sovereignty claims, the evolution of political identities, and the impact of external power dynamics. Simultaneously, the emphasis on "economic interdependence" points to a critical examination of the robust trade, investment, and supply chain linkages that have developed between mainland China and Taiwan. I am keen to understand how the author will analyze the implications of this interdependence – its role in both mitigating conflict and potentially creating new points of friction or leverage. The "and Beyond" component is particularly compelling, promising to contextualize the cross-strait dynamics within a broader regional and global framework. I hope the book will explore how these specific tensions and interdependencies resonate with, or diverge from, similar situations elsewhere, and how they shape the wider international order, global trade, and regional security. My expectation is for a deeply researched and analytically rigorous work that offers fresh insights into this complex geopolitical and economic nexus.

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Upon encountering the title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, my immediate thought was of the intricate balancing act that such a title suggests. The "political conflict" aspect implies a deep dive into the historical grievances, ideological differences, and strategic rivalries that have defined the cross-strait relationship. I would expect the author to meticulously trace the origins and evolution of these conflicts, offering a nuanced understanding of the various perspectives and historical narratives at play. This would likely involve a critical examination of sovereignty claims, national identities, and the role of external influences. Simultaneously, the inclusion of "economic interdependence" points to a crucial element of the contemporary relationship, suggesting that despite the political tensions, significant economic ties have developed. I am keen to explore how the book will analyze the nature and implications of this interdependence. Does it act as a moderating force, creating shared interests that mitigate the risk of escalation? Or does it present new avenues for leverage and potential conflict? The "and Beyond" is perhaps the most intriguing part of the title, indicating that the analysis will extend beyond a purely bilateral focus. I anticipate the book will contextualize the Taiwan Strait issue within broader regional and global dynamics, perhaps examining the role of major powers, international economic trends, and the impact on global supply chains. My hope is for an intellectually stimulating and thoroughly researched account that offers a balanced and insightful perspective on this complex and critical geopolitical nexus.

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This book's title,《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, immediately promises a deep and multifaceted exploration of a critical geopolitical issue. The phrase "political conflict" suggests a rigorous examination of the historical, ideological, and strategic underpinnings of the tensions across the Taiwan Strait. I anticipate the author will delve into the origins of these conflicts, tracing their evolution through different historical periods and exploring the diverse perspectives and narratives that shape the current landscape. This would likely involve an analysis of sovereignty claims, national identity formation, and the role of great power competition in exacerbating or mitigating these tensions. On the other hand, the inclusion of "economic interdependence" signals a sophisticated understanding that these political dynamics do not exist in a vacuum, but are deeply intertwined with powerful economic forces. I expect the book to meticulously detail the intricate web of trade, investment, and supply chains that connect mainland China and Taiwan, exploring how these economic ties have developed despite the political friction. This might include an analysis of the mutual benefits and vulnerabilities arising from this interdependence, and how it influences the strategic calculations of both sides. The "and Beyond" component is particularly intriguing, suggesting a broader analytical framework that extends beyond the immediate cross-strait relationship. I hope the author will connect these dynamics to wider regional and global trends, perhaps examining the impact on international security architectures, global supply chain resilience, and the role of third-party actors. My expectation is for a balanced, evidence-based, and insightful analysis that offers a nuanced understanding of the complex interplay between political conflict and economic interdependence, and its implications for the broader international order.

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The title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》immediately captured my attention by presenting two seemingly contradictory forces at play. The "political conflict" aspect suggests a deep exploration of the historical, ideological, and strategic dimensions that have shaped the strained relationship across the Taiwan Strait. I anticipate a detailed examination of the origins and evolution of these conflicts, including an analysis of the differing national narratives, security concerns, and geopolitical aspirations of the involved parties. This would likely involve delving into the complexities of sovereignty, self-determination, and the impact of major power competition. In parallel, the concept of "economic interdependence" signals a recognition of the undeniable economic links that have been forged between mainland China and Taiwan, irrespective of the political divides. I am eager to see how the book analyzes the nature, extent, and consequences of this economic interdependence. How does it influence the dynamics of the political conflict? Does it serve as a stabilizing factor or a source of vulnerability? The inclusion of "and Beyond" further broadens the scope, suggesting that the book will not be confined to a purely bilateral discussion. I look forward to an analysis that connects the cross-strait dynamics to wider regional and global issues, such as international trade patterns, technological competition, and the evolving Indo-Pacific security architecture. My expectation is for a comprehensive, well-researched, and insightful examination that offers a nuanced understanding of this critical geopolitical and economic nexus.

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Reading the title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, my immediate thought was about the inherent tension between these two seemingly contradictory concepts. How can political conflict and economic interdependence coexist, let alone thrive, in such close proximity? This is precisely the kind of complex puzzle that makes for compelling reading. I anticipate the book will meticulously dissect the nature of the political conflict, likely exploring the historical narratives, ideological divides, and strategic calculations that have shaped the cross-strait relationship. This might involve a deep dive into the evolution of national identities, the legacy of past conflicts, and the differing views on sovereignty and political legitimacy. On the other hand, the "economic interdependence" aspect suggests a parallel examination of the intricate web of trade, investment, and financial flows that have developed between mainland China and Taiwan. I'm particularly interested in how the author will analyze the implications of this interdependence – does it act as a stabilizing force, creating shared interests that mitigate the risk of outright conflict? Or does it present new vulnerabilities, providing leverage for one side over the other? The inclusion of "and Beyond" is what truly excites me, as it promises to lift the discussion from a purely bilateral focus to a more expansive regional and global context. This suggests an analysis that considers how external powers, such as the United States and its allies, interact with and influence these dynamics, as well as how the cross-strait situation fits into broader patterns of globalization, technological competition, and international security architectures. My hope is for an intellectually stimulating read that offers a sophisticated and nuanced understanding of this critical geopolitical and economic nexus, moving beyond simplistic narratives to explore the intricate interplay of forces shaping this vital region and its impact on the wider world.

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The title《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》instantly resonated with me due to its ambitious scope and the inherent complexity of its subject matter. The phrase "political conflict" suggests a thorough exploration of the deep-seated historical, ideological, and strategic disagreements that characterize the relationship across the Taiwan Strait. I expect the book to meticulously examine the origins and evolution of these conflicts, perhaps dissecting the various national narratives, security concerns, and geopolitical rivalries that contribute to the ongoing tensions. This would likely involve a nuanced understanding of the different perspectives and motivations of the actors involved. Complementing this, the concept of "economic interdependence" hints at a crucial counterpoint, suggesting that despite the political friction, there are significant economic ties that bind the two sides. I am eager to see how the author analyzes the nature and implications of this interdependence, exploring the extensive trade, investment, and supply chain linkages that have emerged. The "and Beyond" is what truly elevates this title, promising a broader contextualization of the Taiwan Strait issue within the wider regional and global landscape. I anticipate the book will connect these dynamics to larger issues of great power competition, international trade, technological development, and regional security architectures. My hope is for a work that provides a comprehensive, well-researched, and insightful analysis, moving beyond simplistic explanations to offer a nuanced understanding of the intricate interplay between conflict and cooperation in this vital part of the world and its global ramifications.

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這是一本在書店架子上偶然發現的書,它的標題《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》 immediately caught my eye. The confluence of "political conflict" and "economic interdependence" immediately suggested a deep dive into the complex and often fraught relationship across the Taiwan Strait, but the "and Beyond" hint at a broader regional or even global context, which is precisely what I'm looking for in a serious academic or policy-oriented read. I often find that discussions about Taiwan tend to be insular, focusing solely on the immediate cross-strait dynamics without fully appreciating how these dynamics are shaped by, and in turn shape, the wider international landscape. The fact that the book promises to explore this beyond the immediate strait implies it will likely engage with issues of great power competition, regional security architectures, international trade flows, and perhaps even the role of international norms and institutions in managing such complex geopolitical tensions. I'm particularly interested in how the author might connect the specific case of the Taiwan Strait to similar, or contrasting, situations in other parts of the world, offering a comparative perspective that could illuminate universal patterns or unique characteristics of this particular nexus of conflict and interdependence. The very title suggests a sophisticated understanding of the interconnectedness of political and economic factors, a crucial insight often overlooked in more simplistic analyses. I anticipate the book will delve into historical precedents, tracing the evolution of these dynamics over time, and will likely offer a forward-looking assessment of potential future scenarios. The promise of "and Beyond" also suggests the possibility of engaging with the perspectives of third-party actors, such as the United States, Japan, and Southeast Asian nations, whose interests and actions significantly influence the Strait's stability and economic connectivity. My hope is that the author will provide nuanced arguments, supported by rigorous research and data, avoiding overly simplistic or ideologically driven conclusions. The dual focus on conflict and interdependence is key; it suggests an understanding that these two forces are not mutually exclusive but rather deeply intertwined, often acting as both drivers and constraints on each other. I look forward to a comprehensive and insightful exploration of this critical geopolitical issue, one that offers both historical context and contemporary relevance. The title alone has piqued my intellectual curiosity, promising a rewarding and illuminating reading experience that will undoubtedly broaden my understanding of regional and global affairs.

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The title of this book,《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, struck me as incredibly timely and relevant, given the current global geopolitical climate. The juxtaposition of "political conflict" and "economic interdependence" immediately signals a sophisticated understanding of the multifaceted nature of the Taiwan Strait issue. It suggests that the author isn't approaching this from a simplistic, one-dimensional perspective, but rather acknowledging the intricate dance between opposing political forces and the undeniable economic realities that bind the two sides. I envision the book delving deeply into the historical roots of the political conflict, tracing its origins from the Chinese Civil War to the present day, examining the various ideological, territorial, and nationalistic narratives that fuel it. Simultaneously, I anticipate a thorough exploration of the robust economic ties that have developed despite, and perhaps even in spite of, the political tensions. This would likely include an in-depth analysis of trade volumes, investment flows, technological cooperation, and the significant role of Taiwanese businesses in mainland China, as well as the growing economic reliance of Taiwan on its larger neighbor. The "and Beyond" is the element that truly elevates this title for me, suggesting a broader analytical scope. It implies that the Taiwan Strait is not merely a bilateral issue, but one with far-reaching implications for regional stability, global supply chains, and the balance of power in the Indo-Pacific. I'm keen to see how the author connects the cross-strait dynamics to wider international relations, perhaps discussing the role of the United States, Japan, and other regional powers, as well as the impact on international trade law and global economic governance. My hope is for a work that is both academically rigorous and accessible, offering fresh insights and challenging conventional wisdom. I'm looking for an exploration that moves beyond partisan rhetoric and provides a balanced, evidence-based assessment of the complex interplay between political conflict and economic interdependence, and how these dynamics shape the broader international landscape. The title itself promises a comprehensive and insightful journey into a critical global issue.

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From the moment I saw the title,《Political Conflict and Economic Interdependence Across the Taiwan Strait and Beyond》, I felt a sense of anticipation for a nuanced and comprehensive analysis. The phrase "political conflict" immediately brings to mind the deeply entrenched historical grievances, ideological differences, and strategic anxieties that define the cross-strait relationship. I expect the book to meticulously unpack the origins and evolution of these conflicts, perhaps examining the role of nationalist sentiments on both sides of the strait, the impact of geopolitical shifts in East Asia, and the varying interpretations of sovereignty and self-determination. However, it's the "economic interdependence" that adds a fascinating layer of complexity. It suggests that despite the political friction, there exists a profound and perhaps even indispensable economic linkage between mainland China and Taiwan. I'm eager to see how the author navigates this apparent paradox, exploring the intricate web of trade, investment, and supply chains that connect these two entities. How does this economic interdependence act as a deterrent to outright conflict? Or, conversely, could it be a source of leverage and vulnerability for either side? The "and Beyond" component is particularly intriguing, hinting at a broader canvas. It implies that the Taiwan Strait is not an isolated case, but rather a microcosm of larger global trends. I'm curious to learn how the author connects this specific case to wider issues of globalization, regional integration, and the challenges of managing contested territories in a globally interconnected world. Does it offer lessons for other potential flashpoints? Does it examine how external powers, like the United States and its allies, interact with and influence this economic and political dynamic? My expectation is that the book will move beyond a purely descriptive account and offer analytical insights into the causal relationships between political tensions and economic ties, exploring the strategic calculations of various actors involved. I hope for a balanced perspective that acknowledges the legitimate concerns and aspirations of all parties, grounded in empirical evidence and rigorous academic scholarship. The title promises a deep and multifaceted exploration, one that will undoubtedly enrich my understanding of a crucial geopolitical and economic nexus.

评分☆☆☆☆☆

這個,我想問,真的會這樣,一直,一直,一直走下去麼? 有生之年?

评分☆☆☆☆☆

在兩岸關係的文獻中算齣色的瞭

评分☆☆☆☆☆

這個,我想問,真的會這樣,一直,一直,一直走下去麼? 有生之年?

评分☆☆☆☆☆

這個,我想問,真的會這樣,一直,一直,一直走下去麼? 有生之年?

评分☆☆☆☆☆

在兩岸關係的文獻中算齣色的瞭

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