图书标签: 复杂网络 人类行为 预测 网络 阿尔伯特─拉斯罗•巴拉巴斯 network 复杂性科学 datamining
发表于2024-11-06
Bursts pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024
Can we scientifically predict our future? Scientists and pseudoscientists have been pursuing this mystery for hundreds and perhaps thousands of years. But now, amazing new research is revealing that patterns in human behavior, previously thought to be purely random, follow predictable laws.
Albert-László Barabási, already the world's preeminent researcher on the science of networks, describes his work on this profound mystery in Bursts , a stunningly original investigation into human behavior. His approach relies on the way our lives have become digital. Mobile phones, the Internet, and e-mail have made human activities more accessible to quantitative analysis, turning our society into a huge research laboratory. All those electronic trails of time- stamped texts, voice mails, and searches add up to a previously unavailable massive data set that tracks our movements, our decisions, our lives. Analysis of these trails is offering deep insights into the rhythm of how we do everything. His finding? We work and fight and play in short flourishes of activity followed by next to nothing. Our daily pattern isn't random, it's "bursty." Bursts uncovers an astonishing deep order in our actions that makes us far more predictable than we like to think.
Illustrating this revolutionary science, Barabási artfully weaves together the story of a sixteenth-century burst of human activity-a bloody medieval crusade launched in his homeland, Transylvania-with the modern tale of a contemporary artist hunted by the FBI through our post-9/11 surveillance society. These narratives illustrate how predicting human behavior has long been the obsession, sometimes the duty, of those in power. Barabási's wide range of examples from seemingly unrelated areas includes how dollar bills move around the United States, the pattern everyone follows in writing e-mail, the spread of epidemics, and even the flight patterns of albatross. In all these phenomena a virtually identical bursty pattern emerges, a reflection of the universality of human behavior.
Bursts reveals where individual spontaneity ends and predictability in human behavior begins. The way you think about your own potential to do something truly extraordinary will never be the same.
艾伯特-拉斯洛•巴拉巴西(Albert-Laszlo Barabasi)
全球复杂网络研究权威,无尺度网络的创立者。美国物理学会院士,匈牙利科学院院士,欧洲科学院会员,美国东北大学教授,网络科学研究中心的创始人、主任,同时任职于哈佛大学媒体学院医学系,并担任丹那-法 伯癌症研究所癌症系统生物学中心的研究员。
Barabasi提出无尺度网络模型,2006年因此荣获了匈牙利计算机学会颁发的冯•诺依曼金质奖章,是建立基于网络共性的统一科学理论的先行者,是复杂网络界引述最多的科学家。
世界著名科技杂志《popular science》杂志称赞 Barabasi“他可以控制世界”。
算是在第一时间买的书,虽然研究的问题很重要,但我看来看去,勉强给个3.5星。
评分说真的,这个平行故事叙事法真的比较不适用于科普读物。人类行为不可测,太随机,这是我所支持的论点。
评分说真的,这个平行故事叙事法真的比较不适用于科普读物。人类行为不可测,太随机,这是我所支持的论点。
评分这书不行
评分so so.
可以用大数据把握人性吗——互联网周刊作者:姜奇平 美国物理学会院士巴拉巴西的新著《爆发》,是讨论大数据问题的最新一部商业论著,可以被视为大数据的商业哲学。 作为复杂网络研究的权威,巴拉巴西在大数据兴起的背景下,得出一个结论性的判断,认为数据、科学以及技术的合...
评分最近看的书里面最烂的一本,如果不是恰好在图书馆看到的话根本不会浪费时间在这上面。作者说的根本不是什么奇特现象,从最宏观的角度来看,生活中的大部分系统本来就都是可预测的,就好比大部分人会晚上睡觉,早上起床,这种是没有什么意义的,作者显然故意模糊群体行为与个体...
评分1. 爆发的出现,往往是从无序变成有序的临界点,一旦系统被迫发生相变,一切随时改变,随即出现幂律(爆发)。节点也由无规则分布到社会化分布。 2. 无尺度网络有的两个特征是增长和优先情结,这会造就马太效应,富者越富;而合理利用适用性,是后来者打破这个法则的关键。 3...
评分个人喜好使然,不待见这种太过科普的写法。之前看作者另一本《链接》的时候还觉得值得做笔记以理解其逻辑主线,但在这本书里作者完全改变了写作风格,不知是写作此书的目的本身就是作为畅销书呢,还是作者跟编辑妥协了,抑或其他。无论什么原因,作者都用层层故事和大量跟主题...
评分何为爆发? 统计上看,有的事件和行为不服从高斯分布的钟形曲线而服从幂律规律或者列维分布,语言上可以表述为集中出现与长期平静交替出现,哲学上可以解读为量变到质变,文学上可以形容为静如处子,动如脱兔。 客观地说,作者在谋篇布局、选材论述方面还是用了心的,其每章的...
Bursts pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024