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Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024


Fooled by Randomness

简体网页||繁体网页
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Penguin
2007-5
368
USD 15.95
Paperback
9780141031484

图书标签: 统计学  英文原版  思维  英文原著  英文  stochastics  心理学  思想   


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发表于2024-03-29

Fooled by Randomness epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 电子书 下载 2024

Fooled by Randomness epub 下载 mobi 下载 pdf 下载 txt 电子书 下载 2024

Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024



图书描述

Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. It is all about luck: more precisely, how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the markets - we hear an entrepreneur has 'vision' or a trader is 'talented', but all too often their performance is down to chance rather than skill. It is only because we fail to understand probability that we continue to believe events are non-random, finding reasons where none exist. This irreverent bestseller has shattered the illusions of people around the world by teaching them how to recognize randomness. Now it can do the same for you.

Fooled by Randomness 下载 mobi epub pdf txt 电子书

著者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. The international bestseller Fooled by Randomness has been published in eighteen languages. Taleb lives (mostly) in New York.


图书目录


Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载
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立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本页
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用户评价

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小概率事件隐含大趋势

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小概率事件隐含大趋势

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小概率事件隐含大趋势

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小概率事件隐含大趋势

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学数理统计的孩子表示对这种吹水耍嘴皮子的书欣赏不能。。。。orz。。

读后感

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中学大学一直踢球,但先天身体素质不好,速度不快,身材不高,两个冲刺就喘,腿上没有发达的肌肉,发个角球到禁区都成问题。 这样的人如何在球队滥竽充数,是一个高深的技巧。今天把我中学校队、大学系队,毕业多年参加业余足球联赛还能时而蒙进球的秘籍公开,不是有本书叫《生...  

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呵呵,一年半没买闲书了,印象中上次破例是为了伍迪艾伦《门萨的娼妓》,口袋里只有25块,八折拿下定价25元的书,感觉竟像大大的赚了一笔。 这次在光合作用找教材,寻未果,但又被我不小心瞄到了这一本。这次的经验再次验证了边际效用递减的逆否命题~~~ 书名本是Fooled By Rand...  

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给四星是因为作者所推崇的“科学的可证伪性”,那一星的空白权当是尊重作者本意使之“科学化”了。还是Robert Shiller的金融市场课的参考书目。课听到一半倒是把书搜出来一口气一个通宵给看完了。颠覆啊!作者不相信投资组合那套,评价巴菲特的简朴作风“毫无必要”。这里探讨...  

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这本书分成三部分: 第一部分是讲偏态,偶然事件。还谈了很多与概率相关的问题。 第二部分是讲存活着偏差,由于我们只看到了成功者,而因此形成了对机遇的歪曲看法。 第三部分是讲路径依赖的,人们过去做出的选择决定了他们现在及未来可能的选择。 三部分内容的划分是明确的,...  

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