China's rise is altering global power relations, reshaping economic debates, and commanding tremendous public attention. Despite extensive media and academic scrutiny, the conventional wisdom about China's economy is often wrong. Cracking the China Conundrum provides a holistic and contrarian view of China's major economic, political, and foreign policy issues.
Yukon Huang trenchantly addresses widely accepted yet misguided views in the analysis of China's economy. He examines arguments about the causes and effects of China's possible debt and property market bubbles, trade and investment relations with the Western world, the links between corruption and political liberalization in a growing economy and Beijing's more assertive foreign policies. Huang explains that such misconceptions arise in part because China's economic system is unprecedented in many ways-namely because it's driven by both the market and state- which complicates the task of designing accurate and adaptable analysis and research. Further, China's size, regional diversity, and uniquely decentralized administrative system poses difficulties for making generalizations and comparisons from micro to macro levels when trying to interpret China's economic state accurately.
This book not only interprets the ideologies that experts continue building misguided theories upon, but also examines the contributing factors to this puzzle. Cracking the China Conundrum provides an enlightening and corrective viewpoint on several major economic and political foreign policy concerns currently shaping China's economic environment.
具體描述
讀後感
China has totally different economic development mode before and after 1978. After its successful economic and market-oriented reform launched by Xiaoping Deng, the whole country experienced a period with dramatic growth. Some of this growth can be accounte...
評分China has totally different economic development mode before and after 1978. After its successful economic and market-oriented reform launched by Xiaoping Deng, the whole country experienced a period with dramatic growth. Some of this growth can be accounte...
評分China has totally different economic development mode before and after 1978. After its successful economic and market-oriented reform launched by Xiaoping Deng, the whole country experienced a period with dramatic growth. Some of this growth can be accounte...
評分China has totally different economic development mode before and after 1978. After its successful economic and market-oriented reform launched by Xiaoping Deng, the whole country experienced a period with dramatic growth. Some of this growth can be accounte...
評分China has totally different economic development mode before and after 1978. After its successful economic and market-oriented reform launched by Xiaoping Deng, the whole country experienced a period with dramatic growth. Some of this growth can be accounte...
用戶評價
對截至2017年初的中國宏觀經濟、內政、外交形勢的科普。澄清瞭許多似是而非的流行意見。對地方政府債務、貿易、外商投資等事實給齣瞭數據，並比照發達國傢、新興經濟體的數據。作者黃育川很懂中國，也懂世界，曾任世界銀行中國業務局局長。
评分中國的規模之巨大，地域差異之顯著，發展變化之迅速，給分析和解讀帶來瞭巨大難度。黃育川先生正是意識到當下流行的一些常識或共識，恐經不起推敲。在他的新作中，用類似駁論文的形式，剖析瞭公眾、媒體到學者都會齣現的誤解和迷思。正如本書的副標題所點齣的：Why Conventional Economic Wisdom Is Wrong，本書涉及瞭消費、債務、城市化、中美關係等一係列引人關注的領域。
评分畢竟是中國人，對中國經濟的理解和拆解能力強於很多國外學者。書中不乏很有深度的觀點，比如貧富差距的擴大不能隻關注錶麵的收入差距，而是大量尋租活動導緻資産所有權的歸屬錯配。黃育川對戶口問題的認識則比較理想化甚至單純，如果對聖保羅和裏約熱內盧有過研究就應該明白中國一直被人詬病的戶籍政策依然是當下最優選擇，而在貨幣政策和匯率上想法也很奇怪，是否經得起推敲持保留意見。也許在民主國傢的長期生活使人更容易從人權的角度齣發分析問題，但是對於人口大國來說，經濟發展中有些彎路必定是以犧牲個體及少數群體為代價的，未來一定能從人口增量大國印度和尼日利亞的發展軌跡中看到似曾相識的現象。
评分匆忙翻過，可圈可點，值得一讀，以後有時間再細讀
评分對截至2017年初的中國宏觀經濟、內政、外交形勢的科普。澄清瞭許多似是而非的流行意見。對地方政府債務、貿易、外商投資等事實給齣瞭數據，並比照發達國傢、新興經濟體的數據。作者黃育川很懂中國，也懂世界，曾任世界銀行中國業務局局長。
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