图书标签: 经济 政治经济哲学 最底层的十亿贫民和贫国:最贫穷的国家为何日益衰败?如何来拯救? 经济学 TheBottomBillion 政治 PaulCollier 社会
发表于2024-05-11
The Bottom Billion pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024
Global poverty, Paul Collier points out, is actually falling quite rapidly for about eighty percent of the world. The real crisis lies in a group of about 50 failing states, the bottom billion, whose problems defy traditional approaches to alleviating poverty. In The Bottom Billion, Collier contends that these fifty failed states pose the central challenge of the developing world in the twenty-first century. The book shines a much needed light on this group of small nations, largely unnoticed by the industrialized West, that are dropping further and further behind the majority of the world's people, often falling into an absolute decline in living standards. A struggle rages within each of these nation between reformers and corrupt leaders--and the corrupt are winning. Collier analyzes the causes of failure, pointing to a set of traps that snare these countries, including civil war, a dependence on the extraction and export of natural resources, and bad governance. Standard solutions do not work against these traps, he writes; aid is often ineffective, and globalization can actually make matters worse, driving development to more stable nations. What the bottom billion need, Collier argues, is a bold new plan supported by the Group of Eight industrialized nations. If failed states are ever to be helped, the G8 will have to adopt preferential trade policies, new laws against corruption, and new international charters, and even conduct carefully calibrated military interventions. As former director of research for the World Bank and current Director of the Center for the Study of African Economies at Oxford University, Paul Collier has spent a lifetime working to end global poverty. In The Bottom Billion, he offers real hope for solving one of the great humanitarian crises facing the world today.
作者是牛津大学非洲经济研究中心主任,前世界银行发展研究部门主任,及英国政府非洲委员会顾问,非洲经济问题的世界顶级专家之一,《挣破战乱陷阱》的作者。
作者的用心之作。欠发达国家人口总量居然十亿了么?粗翻一过。
评分有点太理想主义了。要拯救最底层的十亿人实非易事。国关的政策研究就是很依赖于经济学,统计学,哎,得花时间来补啊。我现在的工作和未来的工作取向完全不在一个次元,怎么办哦。只有努力了。
评分威廉·伊斯特利点出本书的两处硬伤:1.在国家选择上的bias,并没有任何证据表明Collier选择的这些国家在今后四十年仍会处于发展停滞的状态,也未必会被困在这些陷阱中。2.相关性不代表因果性,Collier的统计分析并不能代替逻辑推理和分析。——很好地证明了国关不能依赖于经济学和统计方法的定量研究。
评分最著名的就是traps (conflict, natural resources, landlocked, bad governance) 这么看,中国一带一路支持穷国搞基建的思路是很正确的。
评分作者的用心之作。欠发达国家人口总量居然十亿了么?粗翻一过。
Paul Collier是非洲研究的大牛 本书写的条理很清晰(4个trap限制了bottom billion countries的发展), 虽然略显死板,给出的政策建议也是略模糊(丰富贸易,加强国际合作,加强国际干预等),但受到很多美国贸易专家/政客的推崇。 我最爱的导师,前美国贸易谈判代表Schwab女士...
评分关于导致贫穷的原因,左派的人一直认为是富人对穷人的剥削与压迫,而右派的人则认为是由于穷人自身的愚昧和懒惰。而在我看来,正所谓“致富的原因各各相似,贫穷的原因各各不同”, 刚开始的时候,穷人的产生可能是因为被剥削,可能是因为懒惰,可能是运气差,但如果持续贫穷,...
评分看了这本书,觉得中国能有今天的成就,实在很偶然。看看那些国家怎样掉进发展的陷阱中,仿佛受到了什么样的诅咒一样。
评分 评分关于导致贫穷的原因,左派的人一直认为是富人对穷人的剥削与压迫,而右派的人则认为是由于穷人自身的愚昧和懒惰。而在我看来,正所谓“致富的原因各各相似,贫穷的原因各各不同”, 刚开始的时候,穷人的产生可能是因为被剥削,可能是因为懒惰,可能是运气差,但如果持续贫穷,...
The Bottom Billion pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024