Bayesian statistical methods have become widely used for data analysis and modelling in recent years, and the BUGS software has become the most popular software for Bayesian analysis worldwide. Authored by the team that originally developed this software, The BUGS Book provides a practical introduction to this program and its use. The text presents complete coverage of all the functionalities of BUGS, including prediction, missing data, model criticism, and prior sensitivity. It also features a large number of worked examples and a wide range of applications from various disciplines. The book introduces regression models, techniques for criticism and comparison, and a wide range of modelling issues before going into the vital area of hierarchical models, one of the most common applications of Bayesian methods. It deals with essentials of modelling without getting bogged down in complexity. The book emphasises model criticism, model comparison, sensitivity analysis to alternative priors, and thoughtful choice of prior distributions-all those aspects of the "art" of modelling that are easily overlooked in more theoretical expositions. More pragmatic than ideological, the authors systematically work through the large range of "tricks" that reveal the real power of the BUGS software, for example, dealing with missing data, censoring, grouped data, prediction, ranking, parameter constraints, and so on. Many of the examples are biostatistical, but they do not require domain knowledge and are generalisable to a wide range of other application areas. Full code and data for examples, exercises, and some solutions can be found on the book's website.
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16.1 The BUGS Book - A Practical Introduction to Bayesian Analysis, Chapman & Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science (2012)
评分http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/thebugsbook/examples/ 第九章係統介紹瞭很多關鍵而在其他BUGS書較少提及的問題，i.e. missing values, measurement error and new distribution。很受用。但提供的code有些會初始化失敗，原因有些是因為沒有為missing values of response variables 提供初始值（這個步驟是必須的嗎？）。。
评分http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/thebugsbook/examples/ 第九章係統介紹瞭很多關鍵而在其他BUGS書較少提及的問題，i.e. missing values, measurement error and new distribution。很受用。但提供的code有些會初始化失敗，原因有些是因為沒有為missing values of response variables 提供初始值（這個步驟是必須的嗎？）。。
评分http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/thebugsbook/examples/ 第九章係統介紹瞭很多關鍵而在其他BUGS書較少提及的問題，i.e. missing values, measurement error and new distribution。很受用。但提供的code有些會初始化失敗，原因有些是因為沒有為missing values of response variables 提供初始值（這個步驟是必須的嗎？）。。
评分http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/thebugsbook/examples/ 第九章係統介紹瞭很多關鍵而在其他BUGS書較少提及的問題，i.e. missing values, measurement error and new distribution。很受用。但提供的code有些會初始化失敗，原因有些是因為沒有為missing values of response variables 提供初始值（這個步驟是必須的嗎？）。。
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