How to Lie with Statistics pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

• Statistics
• 统计
• 统计学
• 科普
• 英文原版
• 思维
• 经济
• 数学
• 统计学
• 数据欺骗
• 数据分析
• 概率论
• 可视化陷阱
• 误导性图表
• 数据解读
• 批判性思维
• 信息真实性
• 统计谬误

"There is terror in numbers," writes Darrell Huff in How to Lie with Statistics. And nowhere does this terror translate to blind acceptance of authority more than in the slippery world of averages, correlations, graphs, and trends. Huff sought to break through "the daze that follows the collision of statistics with the human mind" with this slim volume, first published in 1954. The book remains relevant as a wake-up call for people unaccustomed to examining the endless flow of numbers pouring from Wall Street, Madison Avenue, and everywhere else someone has an axe to grind, a point to prove, or a product to sell. "The secret language of statistics, so appealing in a fact-minded culture, is employed to sensationalize, inflate, confuse, and oversimplify," warns Huff.

Although many of the examples used in the book are charmingly dated, the cautions are timeless. Statistics are rife with opportunities for misuse, from "gee-whiz graphs" that add nonexistent drama to trends, to "results" detached from their method and meaning, to statistics' ultimate bugaboo--faulty cause-and-effect reasoning. Huff's tone is tolerant and amused, but no-nonsense. Like a lecturing father, he expects you to learn something useful from the book, and start applying it every day. Never be a sucker again, he cries!

Even if you can't find a source of demonstrable bias, allow yourself some degree of skepticism about the results as long as there is a possibility of bias somewhere. There always is.

Read How to Lie with Statistics. Whether you encounter statistics at work, at school, or in advertising, you'll remember its simple lessons. Don't be terrorized by numbers, Huff implores. "The fact is that, despite its mathematical base, statistics is as much an art as it is a science." --Therese Littleton

前段时间看到一份数据，说中国人均存款是7万多。新浪微博做了一个热点话题，问“你拖后腿了吗”？如果新浪多点节操，这个话题的相关问题应该是：“你又被平均数据忽悠了吗？” 互联网带来的信息剧增给我们处理信息的能力提出了新的要求。尤其在中国，太多中国人缺乏批...  

前段时间看到一份数据，说中国人均存款是7万多。新浪微博做了一个热点话题，问“你拖后腿了吗”？如果新浪多点节操，这个话题的相关问题应该是：“你又被平均数据忽悠了吗？” 互联网带来的信息剧增给我们处理信息的能力提出了新的要求。尤其在中国，太多中国人缺乏批...  

不久前电视、纸媒、网络凡是和房地产有关的新闻都说房价又要上涨多少多少了，然后给出一系列彪悍的统计数字，硬生生在许多持币观望者脑海里折腾出一副热火朝天众人抢购商品房的场面，似乎只要稍微晚一点，房子就凭空消失了，任凭你钱多的砸破脑袋也别想买到。还等什么，赶紧把...  

此书甚好，可结合李世默的TED演讲一起看。最简单技巧就是只放出自己想让观众看到的一面，只给出这一个方面的数据，观众自己就会脑补出全貌，被引导得出谬论 @字润之

值得一读，数理统计说谎有两个方面：一个是操弄数据，一个是逻辑谬误。对付前者，值得一做的事是去学习数理统计基本知识，对付后者，就要加强逻辑思维能力了。

play around with your data!

半个世纪前的书

值得一读，数理统计说谎有两个方面：一个是操弄数据，一个是逻辑谬误。对付前者，值得一做的事是去学习数理统计基本知识，对付后者，就要加强逻辑思维能力了。