The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran pdf epub mobi txt 電子書下載 2024

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Charles Kurzman

Harvard University Press

2004-4-30

304

USD 27.95

Hardcover

9780674013285

圖書標籤: 伊朗革命曆史伊朗社會學比較威權革命比較政治政治學

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发表于2024-11-22

The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書下載 2024

The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran pdf epub mobi txt 電子書下載 2024

圖書描述

The Shah of Iran, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, would remain on the throne for the foreseeable future: This was the firm conclusion of a top-secret CIA analysis issued in October 1978. One hundred days later the shah - despite his massive military, fearsome security police, and superpower support - was overthrown by a popular and largely peaceful revolution. But the CIA was not alone in its myopia, as Charles Kurzman reveals in this penetrating work; Iranians themselves, except for a tiny minority, considered a revolution inconceivable until it actually occurred. Revisiting the circumstances surrounding the fall of the shah, Kurzman offers rare insight into the nature and evolution of the Iranian revolution - and into the ultimate unpredictability of protest movements in general. As one Iranian recalls, "The future was up in the air" - and through interviews and eyewitness accounts, declassified security documents and underground pamphlets, Kurzman documents the overwhelming sense of confusion that gripped pre-revolutionary Iran, and that characterises major protest movements. His book provides a striking picture of the chaotic conditions under which Iranians acted, participating in protest only when they expected others to do so too, the process approaching critical mass in unforeseen and unforeseeable ways. Only when large numbers of Iranians began to "think the unthinkable," in the words of the U.S. ambassador, did revolutionary expectations become a self-fulfilling prophecy. A corrective to 20-20 hindsight, this book reveals shortcomings of analyses that make the Iranian revolution - or any major protest movement - seem inevitable in retrospect.

The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

著者簡介

圖書目錄

The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran pdf epub mobi txt 電子書下載

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用戶評價

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庫茲曼從政治、動員結構、文化、經濟和軍事幾個方麵質疑瞭結構主義對於伊朗革命為何會成功的解釋，提齣瞭一種實際是從運動本身齣發的反解釋方法：運動之所以成功，是領袖的策略和其他因素使得運動本身具有可生産性（Viability)，這讓本來不可想象的革命變得thinkable，大眾對於革命成功的預期使得更多人參入到革命中並最終推翻瞭沙阿政權，這很類似於Singh在seizingpower中有關政變成敗的觀點。其他的，從政治角度的質疑，尤其是針對於迴歸國傢學派對於革命的解釋，而當時的伊朗國傢可能並沒有那麼弱；社會動員結構的控製者最初並不是反沙阿的力量；文化的解釋可能難以和更多普通人的實用主義相符閤；伊朗的經濟危機並不周邊國傢嚴重；軍事觀點很難說清沙阿後期的強力鎮壓。

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