Forbidden Fruit pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024


Forbidden Fruit

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Richard Ned Lebow
Princeton University Press
2010-1-18
348
USD 28.95
Paperback
Princeton Studies in International History and Politics
9780691132907

圖書標籤: 方法論  國際關係  政治學  國際政治  Methodology  IR  自我啓發  政治分析   


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发表于2024-12-26

Forbidden Fruit epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

Forbidden Fruit epub 下載 mobi 下載 pdf 下載 txt 電子書 下載 2024

Forbidden Fruit pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024



圖書描述

Could World War I have been averted if Franz Ferdinand and his wife hadn't been murdered by Serbian nationalists in 1914? What if Ronald Reagan had been killed by Hinckley's bullet? Would the Cold War have ended as it did? In "Forbidden Fruit", Richard Ned Lebow develops protocols for conducting robust counterfactual thought experiments and uses them to probe the causes and contingency of transformative international developments like World War I and the end of the Cold War. He uses experiments, surveys, and a short story to explore why policymakers, historians, and international relations scholars are so resistant to the contingency and indeterminism inherent in open-ended, nonlinear systems. Most controversially, Lebow argues that the difference between counterfactual and so-called factual arguments is misleading, as both can be evidence-rich and logically persuasive. A must-read for social scientists, "Forbidden Fruit" also examines the binary between fact and fiction and the use of counterfactuals in fictional works like Philip Roth's "The Plot Against America" to understand complex causation and its implications for who we are and what we think makes the social world work.

Forbidden Fruit 下載 mobi epub pdf txt 電子書

著者簡介

Richard Ned Lebow is the James O. Freedman Presidential Professor of Government at Dartmouth College and the Centennial Professor of International Relations at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His many books include A Cultural Theory of International Relations and We All Lost the Cold War (Princeton).


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