The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 電子書下載2025

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出版者:Princeton University Press

作者:Robert J. Gordon

出品人:

頁數:784

译者:

出版時間:2016-1-12

價格:USD 39.95

裝幀:Hardcover

isbn號碼:9780691147727

叢書系列:Princeton Economic History of the Western World

圖書標籤:

美國
經濟史
經濟學
曆史
經濟
社會-經濟史
英文原版
美國研究
經濟史
美國
增長理論
曆史變遷
宏觀經濟學
社會發展
産業演變
資本主義
政策分析
繁榮與衰退

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具體描述

In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?

Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.

A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.

作者簡介

Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.

目錄資訊

Preface ix
1. Introduction: The Ascent and Descent of Growth 1
PART I. 1870-1940-THE GREAT INVENTIONS CREATE A REVOLUTION INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE HOME 25
2. The Starting Point: Life and Work in 1870 27
3. What They Ate and Wore and Where They Bought It 62
4. The American Home: From Dark and Isolated to Bright and Networked 94
5. Motors Overtake Horses and Rail: Inventions and Incremental Improvements 129
6. From Telegraph to Talkies: Information, Communication, and Entertainment 172
7. Nasty, Brutish, and Short: Illness and Early Death 206
8. Working Conditions on the Job and at Home 247
9. Taking and Mitigating Risks: Consumer Credit, Insurance, and the Government 288
Entr'acte. The Midcentury Shift from Revolution to Evolution 319
PART II. 1940-2015-THE GOLDEN AGE AND THE EARLY WARNINGS OF SLOWER GROWTH 329
10. Fast Food, Synthetic Fibers, and Split-Level Subdivisions: The Slowing Transformation of Food, Clothing, and Housing 331
11. See the USA in Your Chevrolet or from a Plane Flying High Above 374
12. Entertainment and Communications from Milton Berle to the iPhone 409
13. Computers and the Internet from the Mainframe to Facebook 441
14. Antibiotics, CT Scans, and the Evolution of Health and Medicine 461
15. Work, Youth, and Retirement at Home and on the Job 498
Entr'acte. Toward an Understanding of Slower Growth 522
PART III. THE SOURCES OF FASTER AND SLOWER GROWTH 533
16. The Great Leap Forward from the 1920s to the 1950s: What Set of Miracles Created It? 535
17. Innovation: Can the Future Match the Great Inventions of the Past? 566
18. Inequality and the Other Headwinds: Long-Run American Economic Growth Slows to a Crawl 605
Postscript: America's Growth Achievement and the Path Ahead 641
Acknowledgments 653 Data Appendix 657 Notes 667
References 717 Credits 741 Index 745
· · · · · · (收起)

讀後感

評分☆☆☆☆☆

1870—1970年是美国的“特殊世纪”，劳动生产率加速提升，人民生活水平得到改善。 1928—1950年的“大跨越”时期，美国劳动生产率在短短22年间翻了一番。一.技术创新，大萧条和二战是促成这个经济奇迹的最重要原因。 1. 技术创新全要素生产率的提高。主要包含了技术进步，也...

評分☆☆☆☆☆

这不是个完整的书评。主要是看了豆瓣上的短评觉得误解很多，所以忍不住想澄清一下。如果你只是想了解下这本书对最新增长研究的影响，可以只看 section 二，3）。如果没时间读书，可以看Gordon 12年的 nber working paper 。一，Brief summary of the book: 1) From Growth to...

評分☆☆☆☆☆

这是一本比较难读的书，里面汇总了大量的数据和图表，读起来的时候需要人非常的专注，要求有很高的关注度，这种长时间的阅读真是对自己的一种考验，还好，断断续续，一章一章的，慢慢的读完啦，还是比较要成就感。比较起美国初期的生活条件，我们现在的生活还是幸福很多，但是...

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用戶評價

评分☆☆☆☆☆

在《理性客觀派》之後，這本書讓我對未來有一點淡淡的擔憂。也許，我們的第一個黃金時代已經過去，而下一個黃金時代還不知道什麼時候纔會來。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

寫大眾生活的變化很精彩，但如果能夠再聚焦、野心小點，以及最後不要一堆片湯話就好瞭

评分☆☆☆☆☆

這本書實在太長瞭，其實作為一篇文章更好。書很沉，每天拿著讀完後，壓得左手無名指和小指都疼。第一部分還好些，說的時代早些；第二部分讀的很乏味。每章前後的概括和總結很囉嗦。主要結論就是某些發明創造比其它發明更重要，而重要的發明隻能發明一次。1920-1970年間生産率提高很快，年化2.8%，主要是此前第二次工業革命帶來的影響，而1970年後的技術進步主要集中在娛樂、通訊和信息處理，影響較窄，衣食住行、醫療、工作環境等方麵的進步有限，從而導緻生産率增長放緩。放眼未來，由於不平等、教育、人口結構和債務問題，未來增長會更具挑戰。但這本書對過去研究很細並不錶明其能預測未來。未來技術突破的程度和快慢，誰有把握能說準呢？比如在醫療方麵，人類正處在攻剋癌癥的前夜，新的技術已不局限於上世紀50年代的瞭。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

一部悲觀現實主義美國經濟學史美國經濟遇到的很多問題，分析這些問題，不僅僅對美國人有意義，整個全球經濟都可能會遇到相似的挑戰。那麼迴顧美國增長的起落，對我們有什麼啓示？如果美國經濟增速放緩，意味著中國的經濟增速早晚也會放緩，因為我們也會遇到相似的“頂頭風”。狂飆突進的高速經濟增長時代已經一去不復返瞭，再去追求過高的經濟增長速度，已經沒有任何意義。我們已經跑完瞭400米跨欄，現在比的是跑馬拉鬆。不能再按照跑跨欄的節奏參加比賽瞭，未來的競賽，比的是耐力和毅力，更重要的是要保持長期、穩定、持續和平衡的經濟發展。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

讀瞭基本論點，大緻瞭解美國社會基本發展情況。不得不感慨，穿越個啥啊，生活在現代世界的我們如果穿越迴古代，脫離瞭工業社會的種種便利，根本就是廢柴。