The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 电子书下载 2025

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出版者:Princeton University Press

作者:Robert J. Gordon

出品人:

页数:784

译者:

出版时间:2016-1-12

价格:USD 39.95

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9780691147727

丛书系列:Princeton Economic History of the Western World

图书标签:

美国
经济史
经济学
历史
经济
社会-经济史
英文原版
美国研究
经济史
美国
增长理论
历史变迁
宏观经济学
社会发展
产业演变
资本主义
政策分析
繁荣与衰退

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具体描述

In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?

Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.

A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.

作者简介

Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.

目录信息

Preface ix
1. Introduction: The Ascent and Descent of Growth 1
PART I. 1870-1940-THE GREAT INVENTIONS CREATE A REVOLUTION INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE HOME 25
2. The Starting Point: Life and Work in 1870 27
3. What They Ate and Wore and Where They Bought It 62
4. The American Home: From Dark and Isolated to Bright and Networked 94
5. Motors Overtake Horses and Rail: Inventions and Incremental Improvements 129
6. From Telegraph to Talkies: Information, Communication, and Entertainment 172
7. Nasty, Brutish, and Short: Illness and Early Death 206
8. Working Conditions on the Job and at Home 247
9. Taking and Mitigating Risks: Consumer Credit, Insurance, and the Government 288
Entr'acte. The Midcentury Shift from Revolution to Evolution 319
PART II. 1940-2015-THE GOLDEN AGE AND THE EARLY WARNINGS OF SLOWER GROWTH 329
10. Fast Food, Synthetic Fibers, and Split-Level Subdivisions: The Slowing Transformation of Food, Clothing, and Housing 331
11. See the USA in Your Chevrolet or from a Plane Flying High Above 374
12. Entertainment and Communications from Milton Berle to the iPhone 409
13. Computers and the Internet from the Mainframe to Facebook 441
14. Antibiotics, CT Scans, and the Evolution of Health and Medicine 461
15. Work, Youth, and Retirement at Home and on the Job 498
Entr'acte. Toward an Understanding of Slower Growth 522
PART III. THE SOURCES OF FASTER AND SLOWER GROWTH 533
16. The Great Leap Forward from the 1920s to the 1950s: What Set of Miracles Created It? 535
17. Innovation: Can the Future Match the Great Inventions of the Past? 566
18. Inequality and the Other Headwinds: Long-Run American Economic Growth Slows to a Crawl 605
Postscript: America's Growth Achievement and the Path Ahead 641
Acknowledgments 653 Data Appendix 657 Notes 667
References 717 Credits 741 Index 745
· · · · · · (收起)

读后感

评分☆☆☆☆☆

本书作者罗伯特·戈登是美国西北大学社会科学教授，是一名主要研究通货膨胀、失业和生产力的专家。这是一本关于美国内战之后，美国经济增长起落的书。用大量数据表现了随着时间推移，美国经过1870-1970年一个世纪的快速而持久的增长后，开始出现了经济增速下降，引起下...

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这是一部美国经济发展的大部头。 1770年之前上千年几乎没有经济增长，在1870年之前的过渡世纪只是缓慢增长，而在截止1970年的这个世纪中发生了显著的快速增长，1970年之后增长再次放缓。1870至1970年的快速发展得益于电气化和涡轮发动机这两项巨大发明。1970年后的网络和计算机...

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这不是个完整的书评。主要是看了豆瓣上的短评觉得误解很多，所以忍不住想澄清一下。如果你只是想了解下这本书对最新增长研究的影响，可以只看 section 二，3）。如果没时间读书，可以看Gordon 12年的 nber working paper 。一，Brief summary of the book: 1) From Growth to...

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好书，花了近10天才勉强啃完的大部头。资料很翔实，可以做工具书了。涉及的范围很广，到后面有点看不下去。每章开头有引言，然后分开论述，最后再有一节小结。经济增长并不是一个又一个世纪以不变速度创造经济进步的稳态过程。1700年之前的上千年几乎没有经济增长，在1870年之...

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用户评价

评分☆☆☆☆☆

一部悲观现实主义美国经济学史美国经济遇到的很多问题，分析这些问题，不仅仅对美国人有意义，整个全球经济都可能会遇到相似的挑战。那么回顾美国增长的起落，对我们有什么启示？如果美国经济增速放缓，意味着中国的经济增速早晚也会放缓，因为我们也会遇到相似的“顶头风”。狂飙突进的高速经济增长时代已经一去不复返了，再去追求过高的经济增长速度，已经没有任何意义。我们已经跑完了400米跨栏，现在比的是跑马拉松。不能再按照跑跨栏的节奏参加比赛了，未来的竞赛，比的是耐力和毅力，更重要的是要保持长期、稳定、持续和平衡的经济发展。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

读了基本论点，大致了解美国社会基本发展情况。不得不感慨，穿越个啥啊，生活在现代世界的我们如果穿越回古代，脱离了工业社会的种种便利，根本就是废柴。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

这本书是颠覆性的，作者挑战现代经济增长理论的两个根本假设，消费等于生活标准(Solow56, Swan56)和技术进步(Romer86,90)。在全世界的增长大牛都在努力回应这本书的时候(acemoglu, aghion, bloom, klenow, jones, van reenen,...)，豆瓣评分7.8？

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易读。

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