The Rise and Fall of American Growth

The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2026

出版者:Princeton University Press
作者:Robert J. Gordon
出品人:
页数:784
译者:
出版时间:2016-1-12
价格:USD 39.95
装帧:Hardcover
isbn号码:9780691147727
丛书系列:Princeton Economic History of the Western World
图书标签:
  • 美国
  • 经济史
  • 经济学
  • 历史
  • 经济
  • 社会-经济史
  • 英文原版
  • 美国研究
  • 经济史
  • 美国
  • 增长理论
  • 历史变迁
  • 宏观经济学
  • 社会发展
  • 产业演变
  • 资本主义
  • 政策分析
  • 繁荣与衰退
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具体描述

In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?

Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.

A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.

作者简介

Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.

目录信息

Preface ix
1. Introduction: The Ascent and Descent of Growth 1
PART I. 1870-1940-THE GREAT INVENTIONS CREATE A REVOLUTION INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE HOME 25
2. The Starting Point: Life and Work in 1870 27
3. What They Ate and Wore and Where They Bought It 62
4. The American Home: From Dark and Isolated to Bright and Networked 94
5. Motors Overtake Horses and Rail: Inventions and Incremental Improvements 129
6. From Telegraph to Talkies: Information, Communication, and Entertainment 172
7. Nasty, Brutish, and Short: Illness and Early Death 206
8. Working Conditions on the Job and at Home 247
9. Taking and Mitigating Risks: Consumer Credit, Insurance, and the Government 288
Entr'acte. The Midcentury Shift from Revolution to Evolution 319
PART II. 1940-2015-THE GOLDEN AGE AND THE EARLY WARNINGS OF SLOWER GROWTH 329
10. Fast Food, Synthetic Fibers, and Split-Level Subdivisions: The Slowing Transformation of Food, Clothing, and Housing 331
11. See the USA in Your Chevrolet or from a Plane Flying High Above 374
12. Entertainment and Communications from Milton Berle to the iPhone 409
13. Computers and the Internet from the Mainframe to Facebook 441
14. Antibiotics, CT Scans, and the Evolution of Health and Medicine 461
15. Work, Youth, and Retirement at Home and on the Job 498
Entr'acte. Toward an Understanding of Slower Growth 522
PART III. THE SOURCES OF FASTER AND SLOWER GROWTH 533
16. The Great Leap Forward from the 1920s to the 1950s: What Set of Miracles Created It? 535
17. Innovation: Can the Future Match the Great Inventions of the Past? 566
18. Inequality and the Other Headwinds: Long-Run American Economic Growth Slows to a Crawl 605
Postscript: America's Growth Achievement and the Path Ahead 641
Acknowledgments 653 Data Appendix 657 Notes 667
References 717 Credits 741 Index 745
· · · · · · (收起)

读后感

评分

1870年到1970年的百年特殊时期,大萧条和二战促进的“大跨越”奇迹 关于吃:食品法案改善了食品行业卫生条件 住:电灯,发电站,电话带来革命性变化 行:福特流水线使汽车普及速度惊人,1969年已出现波音737机型 综上:现代美国人的生活方式在1970粘已经基本定型。现在的基本生...  

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格雷厄姆的方法难度更低,但对于百亿级以下的资金量来说,收益却没有更低。就性价比来说,很明显格雷厄姆的方法更好。以巴菲特后期的资金量而言,寻找低估企业的方法容量已经不够了。大家千万不要去学后期的巴菲特,不光难度高,收益还低(巴菲特投资生涯的后半段,收益率的下...  

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1870年到1970年的百年特殊时期,大萧条和二战促进的“大跨越”奇迹 关于吃:食品法案改善了食品行业卫生条件 住:电灯,发电站,电话带来革命性变化 行:福特流水线使汽车普及速度惊人,1969年已出现波音737机型 综上:现代美国人的生活方式在1970粘已经基本定型。现在的基本生...  

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洋洋洒洒一百多年的美国发展史。感觉作者写过去比写现在更精彩… 非常喜欢书中细致入微的描写美国人民上世纪初生活的零零总总,方方面面,带我认识了上个世纪初的“亚马逊”-西尔斯(刚破产), 也让我认识到那个时期美国的城市生活与我们上个世纪七八十年代的城市生活是多么地相...  

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1870年到1970年的百年特殊时期,大萧条和二战促进的“大跨越”奇迹 关于吃:食品法案改善了食品行业卫生条件 住:电灯,发电站,电话带来革命性变化 行:福特流水线使汽车普及速度惊人,1969年已出现波音737机型 综上:现代美国人的生活方式在1970粘已经基本定型。现在的基本生...  

用户评价

评分

这本书实在太长了,其实作为一篇文章更好。书很沉,每天拿着读完后,压得左手无名指和小指都疼。第一部分还好些,说的时代早些;第二部分读的很乏味。每章前后的概括和总结很啰嗦。主要结论就是某些发明创造比其它发明更重要,而重要的发明只能发明一次。1920-1970年间生产率提高很快,年化2.8%,主要是此前第二次工业革命带来的影响,而1970年后的技术进步主要集中在娱乐、通讯和信息处理,影响较窄,衣食住行、医疗、工作环境等方面的进步有限,从而导致生产率增长放缓。放眼未来,由于不平等、教育、人口结构和债务问题,未来增长会更具挑战。但这本书对过去研究很细并不表明其能预测未来。未来技术突破的程度和快慢,谁有把握能说准呢?比如在医疗方面,人类正处在攻克癌症的前夜,新的技术已不局限于上世纪50年代的了。

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从技术进步和生活改善的角度对1870年以来的美国经济增长起落和结构变迁做了细致的梳理和分析。

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“We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters.”

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技术革命

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易读。

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