图书标签: 美国 经济史 经济学 历史 经济 社会-经济史 英文原版 美国研究
发表于2025-01-09
The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025
In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?
Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.
A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.
Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.
这本书实在太长了,其实作为一篇文章更好。书很沉,每天拿着读完后,压得左手无名指和小指都疼。第一部分还好些,说的时代早些;第二部分读的很乏味。每章前后的概括和总结很啰嗦。主要结论就是某些发明创造比其它发明更重要,而重要的发明只能发明一次。1920-1970年间生产率提高很快,年化2.8%,主要是此前第二次工业革命带来的影响,而1970年后的技术进步主要集中在娱乐、通讯和信息处理,影响较窄,衣食住行、医疗、工作环境等方面的进步有限,从而导致生产率增长放缓。放眼未来,由于不平等、教育、人口结构和债务问题,未来增长会更具挑战。但这本书对过去研究很细并不表明其能预测未来。未来技术突破的程度和快慢,谁有把握能说准呢?比如在医疗方面,人类正处在攻克癌症的前夜,新的技术已不局限于上世纪50年代的了。
评分"The I.T. revolution is less important than any one of the five Great Inventions that powered economic growth from 1870 to 1970: electricity, urban sanitation, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, the internal combustion engine and modern communication."
评分看完之后意识到这本书面向的群体是估计是大众……图表简单,描述详尽,也不需要太多制度背景。对于普通美国家庭从1870年到2014年生活变迁史的描写尤其精彩。不过因为作者是做宏观的,对相当多的微观美国经济史研究也没有考虑,所以一些结论和政策建议我只能打个问号。
评分一部悲观现实主义美国经济学史 美国经济遇到的很多问题,分析这些问题,不仅仅对美国人有意义,整个全球经济都可能会遇到相似的挑战。那么回顾美国增长的起落,对我们有什么启示?如果美国经济增速放缓,意味着中国的经济增速早晚也会放缓,因为我们也会遇到相似的“顶头风”。狂飙突进的高速经济增长时代已经一去不复返了,再去追求过高的经济增长速度,已经没有任何意义。我们已经跑完了400米跨栏,现在比的是跑马拉松。不能再按照跑跨栏的节奏参加比赛了,未来的竞赛,比的是耐力和毅力,更重要的是要保持长期、稳定、持续和平衡的经济发展。
评分"The I.T. revolution is less important than any one of the five Great Inventions that powered economic growth from 1870 to 1970: electricity, urban sanitation, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, the internal combustion engine and modern communication."
这是一部美国经济发展的大部头。 1770年之前上千年几乎没有经济增长,在1870年之前的过渡世纪只是缓慢增长,而在截止1970年的这个世纪中发生了显著的快速增长,1970年之后增长再次放缓。1870至1970年的快速发展得益于电气化和涡轮发动机这两项巨大发明。1970年后的网络和计算机...
评分这是一部美国经济发展的大部头。 1770年之前上千年几乎没有经济增长,在1870年之前的过渡世纪只是缓慢增长,而在截止1970年的这个世纪中发生了显著的快速增长,1970年之后增长再次放缓。1870至1970年的快速发展得益于电气化和涡轮发动机这两项巨大发明。1970年后的网络和计算机...
评分 评分 评分The Rise and Fall of American Growth pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025