Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. He spent two decades as a trader before becoming a philosophical essayist and academic researcher. Although he now spends most of his time either working in intense seclusion in his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute. His main subject matter is "decision making under opacity", that is, a map and a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.
His works are grouped under the general title Incerto (latin for uncertainty), composed of a trilogy accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, and Fooled by Randomness) plus two addenda: a book of philosophical aphorisms (The Bed of Procrustes) and a freely available Technical Companion. Taleb's books have been published in thirty-three languages.
Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how to benefit from disorder.
In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and his revelatory new book Antifragile offers a definitive solution: how to live in a world that is unpredicatable, chaotic, and full of shocks, and how to thrive during periods of disaster. Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. For what Taleb calls the 'antifragile' is beyond the merely robust; it benefits from shocks, uncertainty and stressors. Antifragile is about what to do when we don't understand. It is a new word because it is a new concept.
Many of the greatest breakthroughs in human endeavour come from the innovation by trial and error that is part of antifragility. And some of the best systems we know of, including natural selection and evolution, have antifragility at their heart. How did the disaster of the sinking of the Titanic bring us closer to safety? Why does the stress on bones make us stronger? Why should you write a resignation letter on your first day in the office? Why should we detest the lack of accountability at the heart of capitalism?
The most successful of us, the most daring and creative will take advantage of disorder and invent new, more powerful opportunities and advantages beyond our expectations.
Irreverent and ambitious, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to live-and thrive-in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to predict. Taleb's message is revolutionary: what is not antifragile will surely perish.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a radical and paradoxical philosopher for our times.He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute.His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in thirty-three languages.Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
(注:该文已于3月3日在《经济观察报》上发表) 介绍这本书之前,很有必要介绍一下本书作者:纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布。这位来自于黎巴嫩艾姆云的“漫游者”可谓是一个“天才”:在商业领域,他是安皮里卡资本公司的创办人,被业界誉为深有影响的商业思想家,在学术领域,他是...
评分这本书我觉得写得不好 但是里面有些东西对我影响很大,所以还是写一些 不好的地方: 全书比较缺乏组织,经常不知所云,缺乏对于中心观点的归纳 而且语气很强烈,导致经常想要跟作者对骂 好的地方: --------下面写重点了----- 全书重点:flexibility & randomness 从小,我...
评分这是我最近看到的最棒的书,用非常简单明了的理论说明了大规模灾难的根本原因,不是因为我们无法预测灾难的到来,而是因为我们没有建立足以有效应对随机波动的结构——事实上,以人类的认识水平,预测未来本身就是不可能的任务,在这方面的努力,只需漏掉一个线索,就难以阻止...
评分(书还没看完,先吐槽一下免得忘了) 这个家伙终于走上邪路了,天才与疯子仅一线之隔,我看作者在向后者靠拢。本来作者对于经济问题的分析还是很有建树的,但在此书中他试图将经济问题分析的方法上升到哲学角度,并以此来指点科学和技术的发展,这个就犯了他自己总结的“教鸟...
评分文/ 《国家商业》,安然 预测工具,无法捕捉“黑天鹅” 在《黑天鹅》中,塔勒布认为,我们的世界充满最不可能发生但总是发生的事,因此我们必须学习如何由失序及混乱中获取利益,这也是他的新书主旨。 塔勒布目前任教于纽约大学理工学院(Polytechnic Ins...
又犯了西方著作的通病,一本书一个观点
评分又犯了西方著作的通病,一本书一个观点
评分他的黑天鹅大热时,读了,傻了,这书写的是什么水平啊?好了,这一本,还是一如既往的写的很烂,是真的读不下去
评分又犯了西方著作的通病,一本书一个观点
评分他的黑天鹅大热时,读了,傻了,这书写的是什么水平啊?好了,这一本,还是一如既往的写的很烂,是真的读不下去
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