On the night of the 2000 presidential election, Americans watched on television as polling results divided the nation's map into red and blue states. Since then the color divide has become symbolic of a culture war that thrives on stereotypes - pickup-driving red-state Republicans who vote based on God, guns, and gays; and, elitist blue-state Democrats woefully out of touch with heartland values. With wit and prodigious number crunching, Andrew Gelman debunks these and other political myths. This expanded edition includes new data and easy-to-read graphics explaining the 2008 election. "Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State" is a must-read for anyone seeking to make sense of today's fractured political landscape.
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why rich states are blue: culture, religion. why income highly correlated with voting behavoir in poor states: postmaterialism hypothesis.
评分Gelman這本書最大的優點和缺點都是通俗。主要觀點並不“原創”：州層麵的窮紅富藍與個人層麵的窮藍富紅悖論可以追溯至Larry Bartels；“極化是政客而非選民現象”則來自Fiorina或者Hetherington。Gelman選瞭一批控製變量迴歸，確定“文化”、特彆是宗教因素纔會導緻高收入人群極化，該結論則比較新，因為McCarthy, Poole & Rosenthal的經典論斷是極化來自於收入不平等。但Gelman得齣這些結論可是放瞭好多散點圖、時間序列，而他本來隻需幾張迴歸分析錶就可以說得更清楚
评分Gelman這本書最大的優點和缺點都是通俗。主要觀點並不“原創”：州層麵的窮紅富藍與個人層麵的窮藍富紅悖論可以追溯至Larry Bartels；“極化是政客而非選民現象”則來自Fiorina或者Hetherington。Gelman選瞭一批控製變量迴歸，確定“文化”、特彆是宗教因素纔會導緻高收入人群極化，該結論則比較新，因為McCarthy, Poole & Rosenthal的經典論斷是極化來自於收入不平等。但Gelman得齣這些結論可是放瞭好多散點圖、時間序列，而他本來隻需幾張迴歸分析錶就可以說得更清楚
评分why rich states are blue: culture, religion. why income highly correlated with voting behavoir in poor states: postmaterialism hypothesis.
评分why rich states are blue: culture, religion. why income highly correlated with voting behavoir in poor states: postmaterialism hypothesis.
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