图书标签: 英文原版 社会 数学 思维 methodology
发表于2024-12-30
Global Sensitivity Analysis pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024
Complex mathematical and computational models are used in all areas of society and technology and yet model based science is increasingly contested or refuted, especially when models are applied to controversial themes in domains such as health, the environment or the economy. More stringent standards of proofs are demanded from model-based numbers, especially when these numbers represent potential financial losses, threats to human health or the state of the environment. Quantitative sensitivity analysis is generally agreed to be one such standard. Mathematical models are good at mapping assumptions into inferences. A modeller makes assumptions about laws pertaining to the system, about its status and a plethora of other, often arcane, system variables and internal model settings. To what extent can we rely on the model-based inference when most of these assumptions are fraught with uncertainties? Global Sensitivity Analysis offers an accessible treatment of such problems via quantitative sensitivity analysis, beginning with the first principles and guiding the reader through the full range of recommended practices with a rich set of solved exercises. The text explains the motivation for sensitivity analysis, reviews the required statistical concepts, and provides a guide to potential applications. The book: Provides a self-contained treatment of the subject, allowing readers to learn and practice global sensitivity analysis without further materials. Presents ways to frame the analysis, interpret its results, and avoid potential pitfalls. Features numerous exercises and solved problems to help illustrate the applications. Is authored by leading sensitivity analysis practitioners, combining a range of disciplinary backgrounds. Postgraduate students and practitioners in a wide range of subjects, including statistics, mathematics, engineering, physics, chemistry, environmental sciences, biology, toxicology, actuarial sciences, and econometrics will find much of use here. This book will prove equally valuable to engineers working on risk analysis and to financial analysts concerned with pricing and hedging.
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评分这是sensitivity analysis入门的非常好的一本书。介绍得很系统,给了很多例子和应用的场景来帮助理解。考虑到是给初学者用的,书里没有深究各个方法的细节,对不是统计专业的同学是福音。 书里主要讲的是variance-based sensitivity analysis。主要的好处就是model-less,并且对simulator的linearity没有要求。 另外,作者常常在书里引用自己的文章。虽然他是这方面的大牛,但是还是感觉怪怪的。。。
评分这是sensitivity analysis入门的非常好的一本书。介绍得很系统,给了很多例子和应用的场景来帮助理解。考虑到是给初学者用的,书里没有深究各个方法的细节,对不是统计专业的同学是福音。 书里主要讲的是variance-based sensitivity analysis。主要的好处就是model-less,并且对simulator的linearity没有要求。 另外,作者常常在书里引用自己的文章。虽然他是这方面的大牛,但是还是感觉怪怪的。。。
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Global Sensitivity Analysis pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2024