圖書標籤: 國際關係 博弈論 政治 政治學 科普 經濟 國際政治 2014
发表于2024-12-27
Arms and Influence pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024
Traditionally, Americans have viewed war as an alternative to diplomacy, and military strategy as the science of victory. Today, however, in our world of nuclear weapons, military power is not so much exercised as threatened. It is, Mr. Schelling says, bargaining power, and the exploitation of this power, for good or evil, to preserve peace or to threaten war, is diplomacy - the diplomacy of violence.The author concentrates in this book on the way in which military capabilities, real or imagined, are used, skillfully or clumsily, as bargaining power. He sees the steps taken by the U.S. during the Berlin and Cuban crises as not merely preparations for engagement, but as signals to an enemy, with reports from the adversary's own military intelligence as our most important diplomatic communications. Even the bombing of North Vietnam, Mr. Schelling points out, is as much coercive as tactical, aimed at decisions as much as bridges. He carries forward the analysis so brilliantly begun in his earlier "The Strategy of Conflict" (1960) and "Strategy and Arms Control" (with Morton Halperin, 1961), and makes a significant contribution to the growing literature on modern war and diplomacy.
Thomas C. Schelling is Distinguished University Professor, Department of Economics and School of Public Affairs, University of Maryland and Lucius N. Littauer Professor of Political Economy, Emeritus, Harvard University. He is co-recipient of the 2005 Nobel Prize in Economics.
寫的深入淺齣,讀起來並不太費勁
評分(1)Focal point. (2)Deterrence War appears to be dirty, extortionate,and often quite reluctant bargaining on one side or both. —— 會哭的孩子有奶吃,全人類都是巨嬰,搞政治的就是互相耍無賴看誰底綫低,正火熱的貿易戰也是我不好過也得讓你更不好過看誰能咬嘛。 這是本博弈論的書。首先戰爭原則是,人類破壞本領比建設大,戰爭會導緻福利喪失,對侵略被侵略雙方都沒好處。所以首要應用威懾理論,亮齣底綫,不要對方輕易來侵犯。而且一定要反復說服對方自己一定會反擊直到對方確信。 如果是沒有王牌的弱雞,則應該增加自身討厭值nuisance value,靠不斷騷擾讓強的一方不勝其煩不得不讓步。
評分寫的深入淺齣,讀起來並不太費勁
評分寫的深入淺齣,讀起來並不太費勁
評分(1)Focal point. (2)Deterrence War appears to be dirty, extortionate,and often quite reluctant bargaining on one side or both. —— 會哭的孩子有奶吃,全人類都是巨嬰,搞政治的就是互相耍無賴看誰底綫低,正火熱的貿易戰也是我不好過也得讓你更不好過看誰能咬嘛。 這是本博弈論的書。首先戰爭原則是,人類破壞本領比建設大,戰爭會導緻福利喪失,對侵略被侵略雙方都沒好處。所以首要應用威懾理論,亮齣底綫,不要對方輕易來侵犯。而且一定要反復說服對方自己一定會反擊直到對方確信。 如果是沒有王牌的弱雞,則應該增加自身討厭值nuisance value,靠不斷騷擾讓強的一方不勝其煩不得不讓步。
谢林是西方非主流经济学家的代表人物之一,2005年他和罗伯特.奥曼获得了当年的诺贝尔经济学奖,以表彰他们“通过博弈论分析,促进了人们对冲突和合作的理解。” 谢林的思想主张突破了经济学理论数学表示的传统方法,开创并发展了“非数理博弈理论”。该理论框架...
評分谢林是西方非主流经济学家的代表人物之一,2005年他和罗伯特.奥曼获得了当年的诺贝尔经济学奖,以表彰他们“通过博弈论分析,促进了人们对冲突和合作的理解。” 谢林的思想主张突破了经济学理论数学表示的传统方法,开创并发展了“非数理博弈理论”。该理论框架...
評分谢林是西方非主流经济学家的代表人物之一,2005年他和罗伯特.奥曼获得了当年的诺贝尔经济学奖,以表彰他们“通过博弈论分析,促进了人们对冲突和合作的理解。” 谢林的思想主张突破了经济学理论数学表示的传统方法,开创并发展了“非数理博弈理论”。该理论框架...
評分谢林是西方非主流经济学家的代表人物之一,2005年他和罗伯特.奥曼获得了当年的诺贝尔经济学奖,以表彰他们“通过博弈论分析,促进了人们对冲突和合作的理解。” 谢林的思想主张突破了经济学理论数学表示的传统方法,开创并发展了“非数理博弈理论”。该理论框架...
評分谢林是西方非主流经济学家的代表人物之一,2005年他和罗伯特.奥曼获得了当年的诺贝尔经济学奖,以表彰他们“通过博弈论分析,促进了人们对冲突和合作的理解。” 谢林的思想主张突破了经济学理论数学表示的传统方法,开创并发展了“非数理博弈理论”。该理论框架...
Arms and Influence pdf epub mobi txt 電子書 下載 2024