Towards a Better Global Economy

Towards a Better Global Economy pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2026

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出版者:Oxford University Press 作者:Franklin Allen 出品人: 页数:560 译者: 出版时间:2016-11-15 价格:USD 45.00 装帧:Paperback isbn号码:9780198784746 丛书系列:
图书标签
  • 未来
  • 世界经济
  • 全球经济
  • 经济发展
  • 国际贸易
  • 经济政策
  • 金融
  • 可持续发展
  • 全球化
  • 经济合作
  • 新兴市场
  • 经济转型
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具体描述

Substantial progress in the fight against extreme poverty was made in the last two decades. But the slowdown in global economic growth and significant increases in income inequality in many developed and developing countries raise serious concerns about the continuation of this trend into the 21st century. The time has come to seriously think about how improvements in official global governance, coupled with and reinforced by rising activism of 'global citizens' can lead to welfare-enhancing and more equitable results for global citizens through better national and international policies.

This book examines the factors that are most likely to facilitate the process of beneficial economic growth in low-, middle-, and high-income countries. It examines past, present, and future economic growth; demographic changes; the hyperglobalization of trade; the effect of finance on growth; climate change and resource depletion; and the sense of global citizenship and the need for global governance in order to draw longer-term implications, identify policy options for improving the lives of average citizens around the world, and make the case for the need to confront new challenges with truly global policy responses. The book documents how demographic changes, convergence, and competition are likely to bring about massive shifts in the sectoral and geographical composition of global output and employment, as the center of gravity of the global economy moves toward Asia and emerging economies elsewhere. It shows that the legacies of the 2008-09 crisis-high unemployment levels, massive excess capacities, and high debt levels-are likely to reduce the standard of living of millions of people in many countries over a long period of adjustment and that fluctuations in international trade, financial markets, and commodity prices, as well as the tendency of institutions at both the national and international level to favor the interests of the better-off and more powerful pose substantial risks for citizens of all countries. The chapters and their policy implications are intended to stimulate public interest and facilitate the exchange of ideas and policy dialogue.

《全球经济新视野:通往更公平、更可持续繁荣之路》 引言:洞察时代脉搏,擘画未来蓝图 我们正身处一个充满变革的时代。全球经济的齿轮以前所未有的速度转动,技术革新、地缘政治变动、气候变化等复杂因素相互交织,深刻地重塑着世界的经济格局。曾经被视为理所当然的增长模式,如今正面临严峻的挑战。贫富差距的扩大、资源分配的不均、环境可持续性的危机,这些都是摆在我们面前的严峻现实。在此背景下,深入审视当前全球经济的运行机制,并积极探索一条通往更公平、更可持续繁荣之路,已成为我们这一代人不可推卸的责任。 《全球经济新视野》并非一本简单的经济学教材,它是一次关于全球经济未来的深刻对话,一次对现有范式的大胆拷问,更是一份献给所有关心人类命运共同体的行动倡议。本书以宏大的视角,审视了全球经济发展过程中遇到的关键性难题,并尝试从更具人文关怀和长远眼光的角度,提出切实可行的解决方案。它不回避矛盾,不粉饰现实,而是直面那些最棘手的挑战,例如:如何在日益加剧的全球化浪潮中,平衡国家利益与全球福祉?如何才能构建一个更加包容性的经济体系,让发展成果惠及每一个人,而非仅仅集中在少数群体手中?在追求经济增长的同时,我们又该如何有效应对气候变化,守护我们赖以生存的地球? 本书的写作初衷,源于对当前全球经济现状的深切忧虑,以及对未来美好图景的坚定信念。作者们深知,单一的经济理论或政策无法解决所有问题,需要的是跨学科的洞察、多元的视角以及全球性的协作。因此,本书汇集了来自不同领域、不同文化背景的学者、政策制定者和实践者的智慧,旨在提供一个多维度、立体化的全球经济分析框架。我们相信,只有充分理解经济发展的复杂性,才能孕育出真正具有变革力量的解决方案。 第一部分:审视现状——全球经济的时代之困 本书的第一部分,将带领读者深入剖析当前全球经济面临的几大核心困境。这并非一次枯燥的数据罗列,而是对现象背后深层原因的抽丝剥茧。 日益扩大的贫富差距与不平等: 我们将深入探讨全球范围内,无论是国家内部还是国家之间,贫富差距为何持续扩大。这其中涉及到收入分配机制的失灵、教育和医疗机会的不均、技术进步带来的“赢者通吃”效应,以及全球化过程中不同群体承受不同代价的现实。我们将剖析收入不平等如何影响社会稳定、经济活力乃至民主制度的根基,并思考是否存在能够有效遏制这一趋势的政策和制度设计。 传统增长模式的可持续性危机: 长期以来,以消耗资源和排放为代价的增长模式,已将我们的地球推向了环境的边缘。本书将详细阐述气候变化、生物多样性丧失、水资源短缺等环境挑战,如何从根本上威胁着人类的生存和经济的长期发展。我们将审视现有经济指标(如GDP)的局限性,探讨如何构建能够衡量真实福祉和环境健康的全新指标体系,以及如何将生态环境的考量融入经济决策的每一个环节。 全球化背后的挑战与反思: 全球化在过去几十年里,极大地促进了贸易和投资,但也带来了供应链的脆弱性、金融风险的传导、文化同质化的担忧,以及部分国家和地区在竞争中被边缘化的失落感。我们将审视全球化进程中的不平衡性,以及如何才能在维护全球互联互通的同时,增强经济的韧性和本土的经济活力,实现更加公平的全球经济治理。 技术变革的双刃剑: 人工智能、大数据、自动化等新兴技术,正以前所未有的力量改变着生产方式、就业结构和生活方式。这些技术带来了巨大的效率提升和创新机遇,但同时也可能加剧失业问题、扩大数字鸿沟,甚至引发新的伦理和社会挑战。本书将探讨如何引导技术发展,使其服务于人类的整体福祉,而非加剧社会分裂。 第二部分:锚定方向——通往更公平繁荣之路的原则与愿景 在透彻分析了当前困境之后,本书的第二部分将着力于勾勒一条通往更公平、更可持续繁荣的未来图景。这部分内容将聚焦于构建新的经济发展理念和原则。 包容性增长:让发展成果惠及每个人: 我们将深入探讨“包容性增长”的内涵,并提出实现路径。这包括但不限于:推动更加公平的税收制度,缩小贫富差距;投资于全民教育和医疗,提升人力资本;促进创业和中小企业发展,创造更多高质量就业;以及通过社会保障体系,为弱势群体提供坚实的后盾。本书将强调,经济增长的最终目的,应该是提升所有人的生活质量和尊严。 可持续发展:经济与自然的和谐共生: 书中将详细阐述“可持续发展”的核心理念,以及如何在经济活动中将其落到实处。我们将探讨绿色经济、循环经济、零碳排放等转型路径,并分析推动这些转型的政策工具和技术支撑。同时,也将审视如何通过碳定价、生态补偿等机制,将环境成本内部化,引导经济主体做出有利于环境的决策。 公平的全球经济治理:构建信任与合作的新框架: 在全球化的时代,任何一个国家都无法独善其身。本书将呼吁建立更加公平、透明和有效的全球经济治理体系。这包括改革国际金融机构,赋予发展中国家更大的话语权;加强国际税收协调,打击避税行为;以及建立更加稳健的国际贸易规则,保障所有参与者的合法权益。我们将强调,唯有通过多边合作和共同努力,才能有效应对全球性的经济挑战。 人文价值的回归:以人为本的经济发展: 在追求经济效益的同时,本书将强调回归经济发展的人文价值。经济发展不应仅仅是为了数字的增长,更应以提升人类福祉、促进社会公平、尊重个体权利为目标。我们将探讨如何将伦理道德、文化多样性、社会凝聚力等因素纳入经济分析和政策制定,确保经济发展能够真正服务于人类的幸福。 第三部分:付诸行动——政策、创新与个体力量 理论的探讨终究要落脚于实践。本书的第三部分,将聚焦于实现上述愿景所需的具体行动和策略。 创新驱动的绿色转型: 我们将探讨如何通过技术创新,特别是清洁能源、可再生能源、节能技术等领域的突破,加速经济的绿色转型。同时,也将关注如何通过政策激励和市场机制,引导企业和个人拥抱绿色生产和绿色消费。 强化社会契约与教育赋能: 建立更加公平的社会契约,是实现包容性增长的关键。本书将探讨如何通过教育改革,培养面向未来的技能,提升劳动者的竞争力;如何通过完善社会保障体系,为公民提供基本的生活保障和发展机会。 负责任的金融与投资: 金融体系在经济发展中扮演着至关重要的角色。我们将探讨如何引导金融资本流向可持续发展的领域,如何抑制投机和金融风险,如何构建更加稳健和负责任的金融生态系统。 地方性创新与全球性合作的结合: 伟大的变革往往源于地方性的创新和实践。本书将鼓励各国、各地区根据自身特点,探索适合自己的发展道路,同时强调这些地方性的努力,需要与全球性的合作相结合,形成协同效应。 公民参与与意识觉醒: 最终,经济的未来掌握在每一个人的手中。本书将呼吁每一位公民成为积极的参与者,关注经济议题,提出自己的见解,并用自己的消费和投资行为,投票选择一个更加公平、可持续的未来。通过提高公众意识,形成强大的社会共识,才能推动深刻的变革。 结语:一个崭新时代的黎明 《全球经济新视野》是一份充满希望的蓝图,它并非描绘一个乌托邦式的完美世界,而是呈现了一个可以触及、可以实现的未来。它提醒我们,面对全球经济的挑战,悲观与无为是无法解决任何问题的。唯有以开放的心态、审慎的分析和坚定的行动,我们才能共同创造一个更加公平、更可持续、更具韧性的全球经济。 本书不仅仅是为经济学者和政策制定者而写,它也是为每一位关心这个世界的普通人。我们相信,通过共同的努力和智慧的凝聚,我们能够开启一个崭新时代的黎明,让经济的繁荣真正惠及全人类,并为子孙后代留下一个更加美好的地球。这是一条充满挑战但意义非凡的道路,让我们携手同行。

作者简介

Franklin Allen, Nippon Life Professor of Finance and Economics and Co-Director, Wharton Financial Institutions Center, Jere R. Behrman, William R. Kenan Jr. Professor of Economics and Sociology, University of Pennsylvania, Nancy Birdsall, President, Center for Global Development, Shahrokh Fardoust, President, International Economic Consultants, LLC, and former Director of Strategy and Operations, Development Economics, World Bank, Dani Rodrik, Albert O. Hirschman Professor, Institute for Advanced Study, Andrew Steer, President and CEO, World Resources Institute, Arvind Subramanian, Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics and Center for Global Development

Franklin Allen is the Nippon Life Professor of Finance and Professor of Economics at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and co-director of the Wharton Financial Institutions Center. He is a former president of the American Finance Association. He has written three books with Douglas Gale, on financial innovation, comparative financial systems, and financial crises. He is the co-author (with Richard Brealey and Stewart Myers) of the 8th-11th editions of the textbook Principles of Corporate Finance. He holds a DPhil from the University of Oxford.

Jere R. Behrman is the William R. Kenan, Jr. Professor of Economics and Sociology and Population Studies Center Research Associate at the University of Pennsylvania. His research is in empirical microeconomics, economic development, early childhood development, labor economics, human resources (education, training, health, nutrition), economic demography, household behaviors, and life-cycle and intergenerational relations. He has published more than 370 professional articles and 33 books, been a research consultant with numerous international organizations, conducted research or lectured in more than 40 countries, and served as principal investigator on more than 75 research projects. He is a Fellow of the Econometric Society, a 40th Anniversary Fulbright Fellow, the recipient of the 2008 biennial Carlos Diaz-Alejandro Prize for outstanding research contributions to Latin America, and a member of the U.S. National Institutes of Child Health and Development (NICHD) Advisory Council.

Nancy Birdsall is the founding president of the Center for Global Development. Before launching the center, she served as executive vice president of the Inter-American Development Bank; held research, policy, and management positions at the World Bank, including as director of the Policy Research Department; and served as Senior Associate and Director of the Economic Reform Project at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. She is the author, co-author, or editor of more than a dozen books and many scholarly papers. Her most recent publications include Cash on Delivery: A New Approach to Foreign Aid (2010) and New Ideas on Development after the Financial Crisis (2011), coedited with Francis Fukuyama. She holds a PhD from Yale University.

Shahrokh Fardoust is the president of International Economic Consultants, LLC. He has more than 30 years of experience in economic development. At the World Bank, he served as Director of Strategy and Operations in the Development Economics Vice Presidency, Senior Adviser to the Director-General of the Independent Evaluation Group of the World Bank Group, and Senior Economic Adviser to the Chief Economist. He has published in the areas of economic development, national and subnational economic policy, long-term forecasting, and international monetary system. He contributed to and co-edited Post Crisis Growth and Development: A Development Agenda for the G20 (2010). He is member of the SovereigNET Advisory Council at the Fletcher School at Tufts University. He holds an MA and PhD from the University of Pennsylvania.

Dani Rodrik is the Albert O. Hirschman Professor in the School of Social Science of the Institute for Advanced Study at Princeton. He was awarded the inaugural Albert O. Hirschman Prize of the Social Science Research Council and the Leontief Award for Advancing the Frontiers of Economic Thought. He is affiliated with the National Bureau of Economic Research, the Centre for Economic Policy Research (London), and the Center for Global Development, among other research organizations. The author of The Globalization Paradox (2011) and One Economics, Many Recipes (2007), Professor Rodrik has published widely on international economics and globalization, economic growth and development, and political economy. He holds honorary doctorates from the University of Antwerp and Pontificia Universidad Catolica del Peru and a PhD from Princeton University.

Andrew Steer is the president and CEO of the World Resources Institute (WRI). He has three decades of experience working on international development on the front line in Asia and Africa and at a senior level in international policy roles. Before joining WRI, he served as Special Envoy for Climate Change at the World Bank. He was a member of UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon's High Level Panel on Sustainable Energy for All and served on the B20 Board on Green Growth. He holds a PhD from the University of Pennsylvania.

Arvind Subramanian is the Dennis Weatherstone Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and a senior fellow at the Center for Global Development. He is the author of Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China's Economic Dominance (2011) and the co-author (with Olivier Jeanne and John Williamson) of Who Needs to Open the Capital Account? (2012). In 2011, Foreign Policy named him one of the world's top 100 global thinkers. Before joining the Peterson Institute, Dr Subramanian was an assistant director in the Research Department of the International Monetary Fund. He holds a DPhil from the University of Oxford.

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用户评价

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坦白讲,我刚开始接触这本书时,心里是有点打鼓的,毕竟“全球经济”这四个字听起来就让人望而生畏,生怕又是那种充斥着术语和枯燥图表的读物。然而,这本书的叙事方式却像是一场精心编排的交响乐,高潮迭起,转折巧妙。特别值得称赞的是作者对“区域经济一体化”的分析。他没有像某些评论家那样,仅仅关注欧盟或北美自贸区的成功或失败案例,而是深入挖掘了那些“边缘地带”——比如东南亚、拉丁美洲的小型经济体——在强权经济体主导下的挣扎与创新。那种对小国如何在夹缝中求生存的描写,简直是充满了人文关怀和历史的厚重感。书中引述的那些一手资料,比如某国财政部长的日记片段,或者某个跨国企业高管的内部备忘录,都极大地增强了文章的说服力。它让我意识到,所谓的全球经济,不是一个铁板一块的结构,而是无数个相互碰撞、相互适应的微观行动的总和。这种由下而上的观察视角,是很多宏大叙事中缺失的。

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这本书的阅读体验,非常具有启发性,尤其是在处理“可持续发展”与“经济增长”这一永恒矛盾时。作者的立场是极其审慎和务实的,他并没有陷入那种“非黑即白”的道德说教,而是提供了一个基于历史成本效益分析的中间道路。他深入分析了技术进步在解决环境问题上的双刃剑效应——一方面,新科技催生了新的产业和财富;另一方面,这些新产业对资源的攫取速度也达到了前所未有的程度。让我印象深刻的是他对“时间折扣率”在气候变化谈判中的作用的剖析。他将复杂的经济学概念转化为日常的决策困境:我们愿意为子孙后代牺牲多少眼前的利益?这种对代际公平的探讨,让这本书超越了纯粹的经济学范畴,触及了伦理和哲学的层面。读完后,我发现自己看待每一次关于能源政策的讨论时,都会不自觉地代入作者的框架,去权衡短期利益与长期风险,这是一种非常难得的思维转变。

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这本书的结构安排简直是教科书级别的典范,它构建了一个层层递进的知识阶梯。第一部分建立基础的宏观视角,第二部分聚焦于金融市场和资本流动,而最精彩的部分,我认为是在探讨“全球治理机构的未来”。作者对世界银行、国际货币基金组织这些“老牌”机构的解构,既尖锐又充满洞察力。他指出,这些机构的设计初衷是基于战后特定的地缘政治格局,在面对二十一世纪全新的权力分布和数字化经济挑战时,其僵化的反应机制已成为阻碍有效治理的顽疾。他甚至提出了一些非常大胆的改革设想,比如建立一个更加去中心化的、基于技术信任的全球清算系统。虽然这些设想在现实中推行的难度可想而知,但这种敢于挑战现状、尝试构建新范式的勇气和逻辑推演的严谨性,令人折服。这本书的论证逻辑极其清晰,即便是在讨论最为晦涩的国际金融监管问题时,也总能找到一个锚点,将读者牢牢固定在讨论的核心。

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这本书,嗯,怎么说呢,简直是为那些在金融风暴后感到迷茫,对现有国际经济秩序心存疑虑的读者量身定做的。作者的笔触极其细腻,他没有直接抛出那些高深的经济学理论模型,而是通过一系列生动的故事和历史片段,将全球经济体系的运行逻辑层层剥开。我记得其中有一章,详细描述了上世纪七十年代布雷顿森林体系解体前后,各国央行决策者们在幕后如何博弈、如何权衡国家利益与全球稳定之间的微妙关系,那种紧张感几乎要穿透纸面。他成功地将宏观的经济趋势具象化为一个个鲜活的决策瞬间,让我这个非专业人士也能清晰地感受到,那些决定我们生活质量的重大经济决策,其背后是何等的复杂与充满变数。读完这部分,我对“全球化”这个词的理解不再是教科书上的定义,而是体会到了它背后蕴含的权力结构和利益纠葛。这本书的价值在于,它没有提供简单的答案,而是提供了一套更深刻、更具批判性的提问框架,引导你去审视那些被我们视为理所当然的经济常识。

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说实话,这本书的深度让我不得不放慢阅读速度,很多段落需要反复咀嚼。最让我感到震撼的是作者对“文化资本”和“经济权力”之间关系的研究。他巧妙地将社会学中的“文化霸权”概念引入到对国际贸易协定和知识产权保护的分析中。他论证道,在许多看似公平的贸易谈判桌上,主导方往往通过植入自身的商业规范和法律框架,从而在无形中限制了发展中国家的创新和自主发展空间。这不仅仅是钱的问题,更是规则制定权和话语权的问题。作者的文风在这里变得尤为犀利,充满了对系统性不公的深刻揭示。这本书的语言精准而富有张力,仿佛不是在写一篇分析报告,而是在进行一场严肃的智力辩论,每一个论据都经过了精心的挑选和打磨,让人很难找到反驳的漏洞。它迫使我重新审视自己对于“公平竞争环境”的理解,意识到经济领域的权力博弈远比我们日常所见的市场价格波动要复杂和深远得多。

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