威廉·庞德斯通
(William Poundstone)
威廉·庞德斯通是畅销书作家,著有9部非小说类文学作品,其中《推理的迷宫》和《循环的宇宙》两部作品曾获普利策奖提名。
In 1956 two Bell Labs scientists discovered the scientific formula for getting rich. One was mathematician Claude Shannon, neurotic father of our digital age, whose genius is ranked with Einstein's. The other was John L. Kelly, Jr., a Texas-born, gun-toting physicist. Together they applied the science of information theory--the basis of computers and the Internet--to the problem of making as much money as possible, as fast as possible.
Shannon and MIT mathematician Edward O. Thorp took the "Kelly formula" to the roulette and blackjack tables of Las Vegas. It worked. They realized that there was even more money to be made in the stock market, specifically in the risky trading known as arbitrage. Thorp used the Kelly system with his phenomenonally successful hedge fund Princeton-Newport Partners. Shannon became a successful investor, too, topping even Warren Buffett's rate of return and using his wealth to drop out of the scientific world. Fortune's Formula traces how the Kelly formula sparked controversy even as it made fortunes at racetracks, casinos, and trading desks. It reveals the dark side of this alluring scheme, which is founded on exploiting an insider's edge. The cast of character spans J. Edgar Hoover, Rudolph Giuliani, Michael Milken and Warren Buffett; Hollywood producers, Wall Street crooks, snarky Nobel Laureates, and the Jewish mob.
Fortune's Formula explores a new and surprising side to the Shannon legacy. Based in part on Shannon's previously unseen personal records as well as interviews with both of Shannon's wives, Thorp, and many others, it is the first full-length treatment of a subject that is changing ideas about finance. Claude Shannon believed it was possible for a smart investor to beat the market--and Fortune's Formula will convince you he was right.
沃伦·巴菲特惊讶于“10或者15个平均智商在170左右的家伙”是如何让自己陷入“输光所有钱的境地”的。这可以追溯到1738年,和丹尼尔·伯努利的观点差不多。当时他写道:“无论可能获得多高的收益,冒险赌上全部财产的人都像是个傻瓜。” 天才败于过度贪婪。 约翰·凯利的风险哲...
评分巴菲特说过,有了足够的内部消息,再加上100万美元,你可能会在一年内破产。看了这本书后,我认为我有1%机会会爆仓,但是有99%机会成为亿万富翁。我们可以在中国股市中明显地看到这一点。 凯利公式的应用前提,很像《孙子兵法》中所说的,知己知彼,百战不殆。凯利公式是一...
评分我能说这是一本很好的书吗? 很早就知道kelly公式了,而且自己也找过thorp的文章来钻研过。市面上能买到的关于kelly公式的书籍屈指可数,此书便是其一。 买来后,发现其实是传记故事类的。 然而很多地方都给了我巨大的启发有木有! 确实如书中所说,kelly派一直受到学院派的...
评分居然是通过黑手党,香农,索普,赌博等几条主线平行推进,八卦,精彩,如果能用英剧的手法拍出来多好
评分居然是通过黑手党,香农,索普,赌博等几条主线平行推进,八卦,精彩,如果能用英剧的手法拍出来多好
评分居然是通过黑手党,香农,索普,赌博等几条主线平行推进,八卦,精彩,如果能用英剧的手法拍出来多好
评分Recommended by Charlie Munger - 2006 WESCO Annual Meeting
评分Recommended by Charlie Munger - 2006 WESCO Annual Meeting
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